Remember to share:
Share

Fun video with the Maccabeats and a tasty recipe of Low-Fat Potato Latkes

One of my favorite times of the year is the Jewish holiday called Chanukah also known as the Festival of Lights. Time moves by quickly. Our children have grown into wonderful young adults,  I’m so grateful and thankful our family keeps the tradition going each year getting together, sharing our love, and having fun celebrating Chanukah together.

Chanukah in 2017 starts at the sunset on December 12 and will continue for 8 days until the sunset on December 20th. Chanukah is a tradition to give young children gifts for eight nights.   As with other major Jewish holidays, candles are lit, appropriate blessings are made, followed by a festive meal with loved ones.

Wishing all of you who celebrate a very happy Chanukah.

Chanukah celebrates the triumph of light over darkness, of purity over adulteration, of spirituality over materiality.

Chanukah Customs:

  • Eating foods fried in oil — latkes (potato pancakes) and sufganiyot (doughnuts)
  • Playing with the dreidel (a spinning top on which are inscribed the Hebrew letters nun, gimmel, hei and shin, an acronym for Nes Gadol Hayah Sham, “a great miracle happened there”);
  • Giving of Chanukah gelt, gifts of money, to children.

 

Listen to the Maccabeats, Chanukah

potato latkas

Enjoy this delicious recipe for Low-Fat Potato Latkes

Low-Fat Potato Latkes

  • 3 teaspoons vegetable oil, preferably canola
  • 2 pounds russet potatoes (about 4 or 5), peeled
  • 3/4 cup finely chopped red onion (about 1 medium onion)
  • 1/4 cup all-purpose white flour
  • 1 teaspoon salt
  • 1/4 teaspoon freshly ground black pepper
  • 1 large egg, lightly beaten
  • 1 large egg white, lightly beaten

Set oven racks at middle and lower positions of the oven. Preheat oven to 450° F. Prepare 2 baking sheets by brushing with 1 teaspoon oil on each sheet.

Grate potatoes using hand grater or shredding blade of food processor. Place in a large bowl and add onions, flour, salt and pepper; toss to mix well. Add egg, egg white and remaining 1 teaspoon oil; toss to mix.

Drop onto prepared cookie sheets by the tablespoonful and press lightly to form cakes. Bake for 10 minutes, or until golden brown on the bottom. Flip latkes, switch position of baking sheets, and bake about 5 more minutes, or until golden brown.

Transfer to a platter, arranging browned-side up, and serve with no-fat sour cream or applesauce, or both. May be made ahead and stored overnight in fridge. Reheat at 350° F for 10 minutes. Makes about 24 latkes.

Tip: Use the grater attachment of a food processor to simultaneously grate both the potatoes and the onion. Set the shredded material in a colander over a bowl to catch the dripping liquid. When the grated potato-onion mixture stops squishing combine with the egg, egg white and remaining teaspoon of oil as above. Carefully pour out the liquid collected from under the grated potatoes and onions, taking care to save the white cake which has formed at the bottom of the bowl (the potato starch). Add this white stuff to the latke mixture and mix well. Complete the above recipe as written.

Source: http://www.chabad.org/library/article_cdo/aid/773110/jewish/Low-Fat-Potato-Latkes-I.htm

Remember to share:
Share

The major averages, Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq were in a consolidation phase within a low volatility environment. However, in recent weeks intra-day volatility has picked due to concern about tax reform.  When the S&P 500 (SPY) is down 0.5% in one day, it gets your attention, especially since there have been many daily changes of no more than .38% on the up or downside. This leads me to believe it’s only a matter of time before daily trading ranges will begin to widen.   However, with support levels holding and the intermediate and long trends favorable, the odds favor the bulls.

After weeks of consecutive gains, there was some weakness in the tape, along with a loss of momentum in some technical indicators.   Losses for the major averages were minor and much more forgiving than compared to individual stocks.   Many stocks this quarter fell 5% or more and sometimes double digits, especially after earnings misses or modest projections of future sales or earnings.

I continue to believe the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) is a clue to signaling the trend of the overall market.

During the last few weeks, the Russell 2000 (IWM) had been losing momentum, weaker than the Dow, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq, not even able to break the hourly downtrend.  However, a shift in relative strength in favor of the Russell 2000 over the S&P 500 started on 11/16/17, and the Russell 2000 (IWM) is now leading the advance.   This is overall bullish.

Figure: Daily iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM)/S&P 500 Index (SPY) Ratio (top) and 12-26-9 MACD Ratio (bottom)

 

 

The top part of the chart on page 5 is the daily Russell 2000 Index /  S&P 500 Index ratio (IWM/SPY).  A rising line means the IWM is stronger, and if falling, the SPY is stronger.   After outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) from the August lows, the IWM/SPY ratio peaked on 10/02/17.  Since then, the IWM/SPY ratio had been trending lower with a series of turn ups (green circles) that were unsuccessful as the IWM moved lower. However, the IWM has broken its downtrend (pink line), after forming a low, implying the IWM will resume its out performance like earlier in the year over the S&P 500 (SPY). This is a positive sign the next leg of the advance may have begun. It also aligns with the fact that historically small caps rally into year end.

In the unlikely event another failure takes place, and the IWM starts to lag, this would not be a good sign for the overall market.

The lower portion of the chart is the MACD of the IWM / SPY ratio.  The IWM/SPY ratio MACD has been on a sell in a steady downtrend from its peak.  However, it’s very positive that MACD has turned up generating a buy and confirming the price turn up in the IWM/SPY ratio (top chart).  In addition, the daily MACD of the Russell 2000 (IWM, chart not shown) is oversold and has given a fresh MACD buy.

Figure: S&P 500 SPDR ETF Weekly Price Channel and upside objective (SPY, top) and 12-26-9 MACD (bottom)

 

Key uptrend and intermediate support remains intact for the S&P 500 (SPY)

The chart above is the weekly SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its weekly (intermediate) price channel (purple lines). The upside channel objective is 276.00 (orange line).  The S&P 500 (SPY) is comprised of 500 stocks of the largest companies in the U.S.  When you invest in the S&P 500 (SPY), you are getting a broad representation of large-cap U.S stocks with a moderate risk.

The SPY remains in an uptrend that began in February 2016 (green line).  The declines this year in the SPY have been minor and brief.  If the SPY falls below 245.00, the area where the SPY broke out of its most recent trading range, this would turn the intermediate trend negative and imply weakness towards the middle channel at 212.00.  Until the upside trend line is broken, no serious threat of a major decline is likely.

The bottom half of the chart shows the Relative Strength Index, a measure of momentum developed by Welles Wilder.  RSI is based on the ratio of upward price changes to downward price changes. RSI is 77.15 confirming the high made by the SPY.  When RSI gets above 70 it’s a sign of underlying strength.  It’s bullish the uptrend in RSI from 1/16/16 remains intact.  Short-term weakness is perfectly normal after a large run-up in prices to alleviate the overbought condition.  However, market tops rarely occur when RSI gets over 70- 75.

In Sum:

As long as the S&P 500 (SPY) uptrend remains in effect above 245.00, the SPY is likely to work its way higher toward the upper weekly channel at 276.00.   If the downtrend is broken (green lines) on either price or RSI, a warning sign would be given for a potential change in trend and a short-term correction to begin.

Further evidence higher prices are likely.

Figure: S&P 500 SPDR ETF Monthly Price (SPY, top) and RSI 14 (bottom)

 

The long- term uptrend in the S&P 500 (SPY) that began in 2009 (purple line), remains intact. There was only one false overshoot for two months below the line in 2016 (pink circle).   If the SPY falls below 225.00 this would turn the long-term trend negative.  For now, the bulls remain in control until proven otherwise.

The bottom half of the chart shows the Relative Strength Index.  The monthly RSI is also confirming the underlying momentum in the S&P 500 (SPY).   It’s bullish the uptrend in RSI from 2009 is clearly intact.  It’s also bullish that RSI is at 80.34 (green circle), still rising and showing strength with a higher reading than the previous peak of 77.01 the S&P had in June 2014 (red circle).   It’s highly unlikely a significant decline will occur now with the long and intermediate term trend favorable.

The first decline in the S&P 500 (SPY) of more than 3-5 % will likely be a buying opportunity with at least one more rally attempt before a market top would be reached.

Summing Up:

This is a broad rally that has started after a period of consolidation. Small caps have come to life, now stronger than the S&P 500 (SPY).   Market internals that were weakening and losing strength are now improving. Support levels remain intact.  The intermediate and long-term trends on the S&P 500 (SPY) are up.   As long as the S&P 500 (SPY) remains above 245.00, the SPY is likely to work its way higher towards 276.00.

I would love to hear from you.   Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

Sign up for a FREE 3 issue trial of Click Here: The Systems & Forecasts Newsletter

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts November 22, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

Remember to share:
Share

Who would have thought the major average averages would be in a steady uptrend since late August?  There has been no decline of more than 3% on the S&P 500 index as the market climbs the wall of worry to record highs. Short term price uptrends and support levels remain intact in the major averages.

The Russell 2000 (IWM) has been in a consolidating pattern since October 4. Several times the IWM has tried to break out to the upside.  However, it’s a bit worrisome the latest rally attempt failed this week. Also a point of concern, investor sentiment is showing very high optimism. In the past, at these levels short-term declines have started.  On the other hand, the Volatility Index (VIX) that measures fear is near its lows, a positive sign, and favorable seasonality has begun.

Watch the Movement of Small Caps Closely

Weakness in the Russell 2000 (IWM) or sudden weakness in Technology stocks (QQQ) would be a sign a short term pullback is likely.  A bullish sign would be if the Russell 2000 (IWM) index were to stop its present decline, reverse and take out the highs made on November 1.  In addition, if the Russell 2000 (IWM) could outperform the S&P 500 (SPY), new 52-week highs begin to expand, and volume increases on up days, while new 52-week lows contract, this would be positive for the market.

The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) Weekly Price Channel, Upside Objective Channel, and 19-26-9 Week MACD

The top portion of the chart shows the weekly iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) which is made up of companies with a market capitalization of between $300 million and $2 billion. The IWM made a high of 150.68 on 10/09/17, breaking out above its upper channel.  A consolidation followed with the IWM confined in a tight trading range, but has since turned down.  Even so, IWM is holding above an important support area.

The good news is during the short-term decline, the IWM remains above the weekly uptrend (pink line) while the other major averages are holding their ground.

The lower portion of the chart is MACD, a technical indicator that measures momentum. MACD peaked in January 2017, confirming the price high. The MACD sell turned out to be premature. The IWM consolidated while MACD weakened but didn’t get oversold, and go below 0. In September MACD turned up, broke the down trend (black line) not confirming the October high, and is now starting to roll over, showing a sign of a loss of momentum.  It’s a little early to know if MACD will continue to decline or if MACD will turn up and have enough strength to make a new momentum high.

The Russell 2000 (IWM) support is at 143.00. Resistance is at the old highs at 150.68 with an upside objective of 162.00.

Summing Up:

With our models in the most favorable condition and favorable seasonality, I am looking for the short term decline in the IWM to reverse and at least challenge the old highs at 150.69 and potentially reach the upper channel at 162.00.  If the IWM were to close below the lows made on 08/18/17 at 134.12 (circled in orange), this would negate my bullish view.

Intermediate Uptrend Continues In Technology Despite Slowdown in Momentum

 

PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index) Weekly Price and Trend Channels (Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

The top part of the chart shows the weekly Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index, and its operative trend channel (purple line).

The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization.  As of 11/7/17, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 12.47%, Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 8.96%, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) 7.45%, Facebook, Inc. Class A (FB) 5.90%, Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) 4.96%, and Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL), 4.33 % totaling 44.07%.

The QQQ breached the middle channel after a 9-week consolidation (red circle) on 04/24/17 and continues to make new highs with only small pullbacks along the way.  The intermediate price trend remains up as long as the QQQ is above its uptrend line (orange).  Support is at 145.00 and the upside channel objective at 162.00.  If the QQQ falls below 145.00, on a weekly close, (an unlikely event), this would change the intermediate trend from up to down, implying weakness potentially to the lower channel at 116.00.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9), a measure of momentum. There has been no MACD confirmation of the highs made in QQQ as it did in June.  However, it is a positive sign MACD has turned up, after the negative divergence in MACD (green circles) and the uptrend is broken. I recommend keeping an eye on the top holdings in the QQQ over the next several weeks for an advanced warning of a trend change.

In Sum:

Technology continues to be in favor, outperforming the S&P 500.  As long as the QQQ is above 145.00 on a weekly close (orange line), more gains are likely toward the upper channel objective at 162.00.  Our models are positive and price uptrends are intact so there is a good reason to expect a year-end rally. Be aware of a short term decline to start if small caps remain weaker than the S&P 500, the top holdings in the QQQ begin to falter, and the uptrends are violated.  However, the trend is your friend.  Continue to enjoy the ride.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

Sign up for a FREE 3 issue trial of Click Here: The Systems & Forecasts Newsletter

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts November 9, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

Remember to share:
Share

Happy Holidays to you and your family!  Thanksgiving is more than celebrating the holiday with family and friends, it’s a great time to reflect on all the things to be grateful for and show your gratitude to others. Being in a spirit of “thanksgiving” can be taken to a new level expressing daily your appreciation for all that you have been given. By adding the practice of daily thanks you will to experience just how wonderful life really is. With a conscious filled life of gratitude, you will not only show your gratitude but this daily practice will also give you the strength to find a way to get through the challenging times. Being thankful on a regular basis brings an abundance of confidence, love, and joy into your life. Gratitude is the start of happiness.

When you reach out to give thanks to others remember to give thanks to yourself as well. Your mental and physical health can benefit greatly from practicing appreciation on a daily basis because when you feel good it’s easier to lift up the spirits of others and be supportive of their needs. The love and patience you give yourself will create a compassionate and genuine loving heart that will be remembered as you continue to touch others in a spirit of appreciation.

Why not start today by telling someone “thank you” or by sharing a simple “I appreciate you” and see what happens. One kind word of encouragement you give can make a huge difference in someone’s life. You never know what others may be going through difficult times and how your kindness can impact the life of another. Today make the intention to sincerely reach out and help someone by giving words of hope or wisdom that provides them with a reason to believe and to keep their dreams alive. You will feel it through your entire body as your words and big-heartedness lifts their mood and spirit as you put a smile on their face, and all because you took the time to give of yourself.

Often, I reflect on my own wonderful wealth and well-being journey. It’s as if each step taken (even during those challenging periods) has brought me to where I am now. Stronger and more prepared than ever. I also have a certain level of peace that I didn’t know before because I now understand that with the ebb and flow of life those times of pain and struggle will pass. No one can avoid the bumps in the road, it’s part of life.

I have learned how important it is to maintain a positive mindset and stay focused with a good attitude and to the importance of practicing self-love. I’ve also learned how to better handle my own negative thoughts through years of personal development and by coaching others.  Saying “I can’t” was one of my favorite lines but I know through personal experience that this gets you nowhere, only more stressed, anxious and frustrated. Do you ever find yourself in this place?  I’ve learned to look for the solutions instead of zeroing in on the negative.  Handling situations in this way have proven so much better than being paralyzed with inaction. The more times I would say “NO”, the more I feared and I would procrastinate.  As a result, I would not do as much as I initially had set out to do. The solution is to do the best that you can do.  Take one simple action step at a time at a time and watch your self-confidence grow and do what you never imagined was possible.

If I can have you understand one thing it would be to fully realize the inspiration you are. Take the time to love yourself, love others, and be in a constant attitude of gratitude. Once you put daily gratitude into practice you will feel a sense of confidence that will bring about a happier you and will add more serenity and tranquility to your life.

11 Tips How To Shift To An Attitude of Gratitude For Your Happiness

  1. If you feel a bit overwhelmed, stop, don’t focus on what’s not working. Think of a positive thought that makes you feel better.
  2. Stop pressing and relax. The more you press, the longer something will take you to accomplish.
  3. If you are frustrated or irritated, don’t stay irritated for too long. Ask yourself, how can I simplify what I want to do? Think thoughts of kindness, have compassion for others and shift to an attitude of gratitude.
  4. Surround yourself with people who you trust and support you.
  5. Learn how to accept feedback instead of taking what is said personally. What you learn will inspire you to take an action and then you will be on your way to achieve your goal.
  6. Be compassionate, send your love, a smile or a hug to someone.
  7. Have a good laugh with a friend today; laughter is good for the soul.
  8. Keep a journal. Write down 10 things you are grateful for. Try it and see the positive shift you will feel.
  9. Take some YOU time. Schedule yourself on your calendar. Go for a walk, call a friend you haven’t spoken to, book a massage, buy yourself a present, or read a book.
  10. Watch your words you tell yourself. Focus your thoughts on what you want and not thoughts of what you don’t want. (A law of attraction principle).
  11. Go outside your comfort zone today. Do something that you have never done before, and achieve the goals you desire. I’m here to partner with you.

The way you feel each day affects your life. Why not let today be the day you feel more grateful and thankful for life. Choose at least one tip from above to put into practice now. Be the one to share your gifts and talents with others. You will not only improve your well-being, but you will make a big difference to someone else and also impact others. It’s a cycle that goes on and on, so Be The Inspiration! Practice more gratitude, thanksgiving, self-love and your generosity will be returned to you tenfold filled with abundance, joy, and happiness.

Remember to share:
Share

Renewed talk of U.S. tax reform and the good start to earning seasons have pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a new record high on October 24.  However, the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 were unable to do the same. The market has been in a steady uptrend since late August.  As the rally continues higher, so does investor optimism.  Short term price uptrends and support levels remain intact for the major averages.

Our equity timing model will shift from hold to bullish on November 1. Also unfavorable seasonality is out and favorable seasonality is in.

What to expect now?  The bulls to remain in control:

  • The daily tape action suggests there are no signs of a market top.
  • Overseas markets are in uptrends supporting the U.S. Market.
  • Although the Nasdaq is no longer leading in relative strength compared to the S&P 500, the top holdings Apple (APPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL), and Facebook all remain above support. These stocks have quickly rebounded after a pullback.
  • High Yield Bonds are at or near their highs.
  • Volatility remains low.
  • Market breadth indicators are positive. The advance/decline line has made new highs.
  • The Russell 2000 (IWM) has been in a very narrow range since the highs made on October 4, not giving up much ground while digesting its gains after breaking out of its weekly channel.

Higher Intermediate Term Upside Objectives Remain For the S&P 500 (SPY)

Figure: S&P 500 SPDR ETF Weekly Price Channel (SPY, top) and 12-26-9 MACD (bottom)

The chart above is the weekly SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF that is comprised of 500 stocks of the largest companies in the U.S. When you invest in the S&P 500 (SPY), you will get a broad representation of the overall large-cap U.S. stock market.

As of 10/25/17 its top 5 holdings in the S&P 500 were Apple Inc. (AAPL) 3.67%, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) 2.74%, Facebook (FB) 1.84%, Amazon (AMZN) 1.76%, and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 1.72% totaling   11.73%.  The top part of the chart is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its active weekly (intermediate) trading channel. The SPY continues its slow and steady rise this year. The SPY remains clearly in an uptrend that began in February 2016 (green line).  Declines have been minor and brief. Until this trendline is broken, no serious threat of a major decline should occur.

The upside channel objective is 276.00 (orange line).  In the unlikely event the SPY falls below 245.00, the area where the SPY broke out of its range, this would turn the intermediate trend negative and imply potential weakness towards the middle channel at 210.00

The bottom half of the chart shows the Relative Strength Index, a measure of momentum developed by Welles Wilder. RSI is based on the ratio of upward price changes to downward price changes. RSI peaked at 76.04 confirmed the SPY price high.  RSI readings of 70 or higher show strength and are most times considered bullish, not a sign of a top. Generally, as long as RSI stays above 40, the trend is up.  The bullish uptrend in RSI from 1/16/16 remains intact.

On the other hand, RSI has lost some momentum.  It’s normal for momentum to weaken (red circle) after a large rally. Short-term weakness is perfectly normal after a large run-up in prices.  We should expect to see either a minor pullback or sideways consolidation before another rally attempt can occur.  If the SPY penetrates 258.00, just above the recent highs, the buyers will step in.

 In Sum

As long as the S&P 500 (SPY) uptrend remains in effect, SPY should work its way higher toward the upper weekly channel at 276.00.  If the downtrend is broken (green lines) on either price or RSI a warning sign would be given and caution would be recommended.  With our trading model likely to change from hold to the most bullish condition on November 1, and November and December historically a very favorable time for investment gains in equities, I recommend buying dips in the S&P 500 (SPY) as long as the SPY remains above 245.00.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

Sign up for a FREE 3 issue trial of Click Here: The Systems & Forecasts Newsletter

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts October  26, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

Remember to share:
Share

 

When was the last time you celebrated a milestone that had real meaning to you? One you can look back upon with fond remembrance. If one doesn’t come to mind it may be time to ask why. Three highly treasured milestones that come to my mind is when I went to dinner with my mom after I made her a millionaire, bowling my first 300, and holding my first book “Journey to Wealth” in my hand. I still smile whenever I think of those moments. Sometimes the word milestone can be overwhelming but I’m here to tell you attaining them can be fun while you fully enjoy the process along the way.

Remember too they become much sweeter when you celebrate your milestone once it becomes a reality.

Now, what about you? Are you going through the motions of each day or are you living a joyous life, filled with happiness, fun, and inner peace? Living life to its fullest helps if you are passionate about what you do. When you make a commitment, are loyal, and find others who are the same to you that’s when good things happen. Achieving goals, whether short, intermediate or long-term gives a feeling of accomplishment, and confidence. I have discovered time and time again that some of my greatest challenges have served as great motivation and inspiration along the way. 

Recently, I celebrated my 35th anniversary working in my corporate job. This milestone is rare in our society today. How many people do you know have been at the same company for 35 years?  This milestone was only possible through commitment, discipline, and mutual loyalty by the company and myself. A lot of change has occurred from 35 years ago, many hurdles were overcome, good times together, and many memories shared. It was an honor  I embraced and will be very grateful for forever.  What an intense feeling of accomplishment knowing I achieved 35 years of making a difference in people’s lives while helping them build wealth. It was very important for me to express my appreciation to my the colleagues and bosses who have supported me through the years.

In an effort to express my gratitude I decided to write a poem. It took me several days to find the right words (and many drafts too). Years ago, I would not have had the courage to share my feelings in such a personal way and as a result, I didn’t write or do any public speaking. What I did do was allow fear to get in the way. What helped me to break out of my comfort zone was being part of Toastmasters (an international speaking group). The experience broke the ice and greatly helped me to get over some of my worst public speaking fears. The courage to push through those challenges despite my fear only came about after attending  meetings on a consistent basis and having the discipline to stick with it no matter how I felt inside. The support I received was phenomenal and it helped be a support to others too. The experience helped me to have fun reading the poem to my colleagues all the time using hand gestures, making good eye contact, and adding humor while sharing my heartfelt words of gratitude and appreciation. That would have never been possible in years past, and putting myself out there made me smile  when I could see the poem was well received. What can you do today to move beyond your comfort zone so you too can move past your most elusive milestone? 

One way to help you discover how is to take a moment and think about what goals would bring you closer to happiness. What would inspire you so much that you would be fully committed and put yourself even closer to celebrating your own milestone? Below I’ve shared some more insights that will place you in a better position for making your dreams a reality. 

3 Simple Sure Fire Practices For Your Happiness Embracing Your Milestone

Practice Gratitude –

 Keep a gratitude journal and list those things you are grateful for. Before you go to sleep think about what good things happened during the day that brought you joy.  Practice gratitude and see the difference how you will start to shift to feeling more positive and enjoying the little things in life.

. Read a book, prepare your favorite meal, or call a friend you haven’t made the time for. Pamper yourself, light some candles and relax. Listen to your favorite relaxing music. Get a pedicure, manicure or massage. Drink some of your favorite relaxing tea, or have a cup of hot lemon water. Whatever it is, make it a priority to do something that makes you happy, something that gives you joy, something that you love, every day. 

Be quiet and stay present in the moment. You are probably busy, on the run, and you have a large to accomplish list. It’s a challenge to be still and quiet.  Make the commitment every day that you will take 5 minutes to just be. (I’m going to join you on this commitment). Allow yourself to be quiet and still. Close your eyes, take a deep breath and let it out slowly. Listen to the sounds of your body and your surroundings.  Relax and let your mind, body, and spirit be present in the moment.  Don’t focus on any thoughts about the future or the past. If they come up tell them to go away.   Allow yourself to feel the moment and relax.  Being quiet and staying present for five minutes a day goes a long way to relieve stress, giving you a sense of peace, and re-energizing your mind and spirit.

What goals are you working on? Is there anything you have had on the back burner you desire but need to apply more discipline and consistency? The time is now, don’t wait, and enjoy the journey! Apply the above three simple practices. Remember to incorporate gratitude, do something you love every day to make you happy, and be silent as you stay present in the moment. Start by discovering what you love to do and you find yourself celebrating many more successes as you reach the milestones within your life. 

 

 

If you like this article you would love a free strategy session with me Register Here

Remember to share:
Share

An amazing run for the stock market continues.  Record highs, new winning streaks of consecutive gains for the major averages, low volatility, and no fear have been this year’s story.  May-October, with September the worst month, has historically been a weak period for the stock market but this year profits were made.

What to expect now?

Although there have been warnings of weakening momentum patterns, no serious decline materialized. The present tape action suggests there are no signs of a market top.  The technical picture of the market remains positive, with short term price up trends and support levels intact.  Market breadth indicators are positive, the advance/decline line has made new highs and in a few weeks favorable seasonality will begin.

The bulls remain in control until proven otherwise.  Until a trend change appears or more warning signs in the tape occur, we are likely to higher prices in the months ahead.   Financials regained their spark.  Overseas markets are outperforming the U.S. market, especially emerging markets.  It’s also bullish that small and mid-cap stocks have rebounded after some short term weakness.  The same pattern looks to be happening in the technology sector.   A shift has occurred.  Prices have firmed, weakness in technology stocks appears over, momentum patterns are improving, and higher prices are imminent.

Technology could now be ready to lead again.

 Figure:  PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index) Daily Price and Trend Channel (Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

 

The top part of the chart shows the daily Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index and its operative trend channel. The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization.  As of 10/10/17, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 11.50%, Alphabet Inc. 9.11% (Class C, GOOG, and Class A, GOOGL combined), Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 8.45%, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) 6.82%, and Facebook, Inc. Class A (FB) 5.85%,.

The rally in technology stalled in July and September (red circles) failing to generate enough momentum to reach the upper channel as it did in early June (purple circle).  However, the intermediate trend remains up for technology (QQQ).

The decline in the QQQ was contained holding the lower channel.  However, in the last two weeks the QQQ rallied to near the middle channel (green), closing today at 148.02, consolidating under key resistance at 150.00.  A break above 150.00 would imply further gains to at least 155.00 and possibly as high as 173.00.  As long as the QQQ remains above the September low at 142.10, the trend is up and higher prices are likely.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9), a measure of momentum. MACD just missed going below 0 before its recent turn up, a promising MACD pattern.  The downtrend from June has been broken (black line).  MACD is showing strength, very close to surpassing its September peak breaking the pattern of lower highs.  MACD is signifying an increase in momentum as well as giving an advanced warning of a potential advance.

The near term is bullish for top Holdings of QQQ

Figure:  Daily Price of Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) Apple (AAPL), and 12-26-9 Daily MACD

 

In the near term technology stocks look higher.  Favorable MACD patterns exist on Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL).  If the top holdings in the QQQ remain strong, and hold above support, further gains for the overall market are likely too.  I recommend watching the performance of the top holdings in the QQQ over the next several days-weeks for further clues in market direction.  For aggressive investors and traders here are some key levels for guidance.

Microsoft (MSFT), one of the strongest top holdings of the QQQ has already made a new high. MSFT has successfully tested its August breakout.  Support is at 72.92.  Resistance is at 77.00. Upside objective is at 80.00.

Facebook (FB), remains in an uptrend from July and is trading near its highs.  Resistance is 175.49. Upside objective is at 186.00.  Support is at 161.56.

Amazon (AMZN) broke its short term down trend from July.  Resistance is at 1003.00 followed by 1050.00 and 1083.00. Support is at 931.75.

Apple (AAPL) made a new all-time high in August at 164.80 and then fell out of favor with investors, pulling back to 149.16.  This week Apple broke its short term down trend from August. Support is at 150.00.  Resistance is at 165.00.  Upside objective is at 175.00.

The lower portion of each chart shows the technical indicator MACD, a measure of momentum.  MACD has generated a buy for all 4 stocks Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL), These MACD buys are considered bullish for the near term and confirms the positive shift in trend from down to up.

Summing Up:

The major averages are near or at their highs. The tape action suggests there are no signs of an impending market top now or in the near future.  The trend remains up. Unfavorable seasonality will turn favorable in a few weeks which I believe will bode well for the balance of the year.  Favorable MACD patterns exist on Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL) in the near term.  If the top holdings in the QQQ remain strong, and hold above support, further gains for the overall market are likely to continue to trend higher.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

Sign up for a FREE 3 issue trial of Click Here:The Systems & Forecasts Newsletter

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 28, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

 

Remember to share:
Share

 

Historically September has not been favorable for stocks, with the S&P 500 declining a majority of the time. But surprisingly this September the major averages are near or at new highs, positive for the month. The major averages didn’t give up much ground after the Fed meeting and political concerns overseas.  The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged but implied they would increase interest rates one more time by year-end, despite low inflation. There was a noticeable shift that took place as investors took profits rotating out of some of the leading sectors this year such as Technology and Utilities, and moved into sectors that were lagging.  Energy, Industrials, and Financials were the big winners.

The bullish case remains for the overall market. Our equity timing models remain overall on a “hold” suggesting further gains are likely with risk contained.   The advance decline line of the New York Stock Exchange Index and Transportation average has confirmed the major average highs suggesting a market top is unlikely.  The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) ETF is trending higher leading the advance, a healthy sign for the market. However, there are some sectors showing a loss of upside momentum, which means stock and sector selection will be more important going into the fourth quarter and early next year.

 Health Care (XLV), a leader so far this year might have hit its peak.

  Figure: Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV, top and MACD 12-26-9 (bottom)

The top portion of the chart above is the weekly Health Care SPDR (XLV) that is comprised of companies from industry groups including pharmaceuticals; health care providers & services; health care equipment & supplies; biotechnology; life sciences tools & services; and health care technology.  As of 09/25/17, the top 5 holdings in the XLV were Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) 11.26%, Pfizer (PFE) 6.78%, United Health Group (UNH) 5.98%, Merck (MRK) 5.70%, and AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) 4.41%, totaling 34.13%. Except for a few short term declines, Healthcare (XLV) in 2017 has trended higher and is up 18.00% through 09/26/17, outperforming the S&P 500.

The biggest holding, Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) has been trending down. MACD is on a sell along with a bearish negative divergence. JNJ has broken its uptrend from January 2017 (chart not shown).

Notice in the top chart, how the XLV made a new high in July, breaking through its old high, but stalled immediately.   A few weeks later the XLV pulled back to 77.82 (red circle) successfully testing its breakout then rising for three weeks to make a new high at 83.41.  It’s encouraging the XLV uptrend remains in effect from February 2017.  However, in the last two weeks, investors have shifted away from healthcare and some short term selling pressure has begun.

The bottom half of the chart shows MACD, a measure of momentum.  MACD is on a sell and the MACD pattern is suggesting a possible peak for the short term in healthcare (XLV).  MACD is above 0, rolling over with a double top, forming a negative divergence (a higher high in price but a lower high in MACD, (green circles).

The moment of truth is here. There are two significant uptrend lines in jeopardy if the XLV continues to decline.  The uptrend from 02/08/17 would be broken (pink line) on any further weakness. However, the longer term uptrend in MACD from 12/5/16 remains intact (orange line).

In Sum: Healthcare has had a substantial rise.  Declining momentum patterns are appearing signaling some weakness might lie ahead. Keep an eye if the XLV breaks below support at 77.82 on a weekly close.  Now is not a good time to be over invested in health care.  Caution is warranted, the party could be coming to an end soon.

More evidence: A potential shift away from Health Care (XLV) in the short term.

Figure: Daily (XLV) / (SPY) Ratio (Top); MACD of XLV/SPY Ratio (Bottom)

The chart above is the daily Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF/ S&P 500 ratio XLV/SPY.  A rising line means the XLV is stronger, and if falling, the S&P 500 is stronger.  The XLV/SPY ratio has been in an uptrend since January 2017.  Since the peak on September 8, 2017, the XLV/SPY ratio has turned down, giving a warning of deteriorating momentum in comparison to the S&P 500 (SPY). The uptrend was broken today.

The bottom half of the chart shows the 12-26-9 MACD, on the XLV/SPY ratio. MACD recently generated a sell, turning down from an overbought condition.  Notice the negative divergence in the MACD pattern.  MACD formed a lower high than the peak in June (green circles) while the XLV/SPY ratio in the top chart made a high, (red circles) suggesting a shift in trend has started and more weakness in XLV is expected compared to S&P 500.

I am recommending you review your holdings, making sure you are not over weight in health care.

Summing Up:

The stock market advance continued through September, one of the weakest months historically. Investors appear to be rotating out of some of the leading sectors starting with Nasdaq early in September.  Health care, (XLV)  one of the strongest sectors of the market this year, is giving warning signals of weakening momentum compared to the S&P 500 (SPY),  suggesting it too might hit a bump in the road.  I recommend reviewing your portfolio and reducing your healthcare exposure.  If Healthcare (XLV) breaks below 77.82, on a weekly close this would trigger further selling.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

Sign up for a FREE 3 issue trial of Click Here:The Systems & Forecasts Newsletter

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 28, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

Remember to share:
Share

The bears were unable to take control through the ups and downs during July and August. Normally a weak market period, the averages had a modest pullback, holding above key support levels and working off their daily overbought condition.   After the short decline without much price fluctuation, the major averages formed favorable technical patterns on a daily basis  from oversold conditions. The bulls stepped in to buy and the bears were disappointed once again.  At the time of this writing, we remain in a rally phase that began in the end of August. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq made new record closing highs on September 12.  

Price trends seem to be more significant indicating market direction than weakening momentum patterns.  The recent rise occurred even thought there were clear negative patterns on many intermediate charts.  It’s good to keep in mind, there has been not been a bear market since March 2009, when the past bear market ended.  The rise in equities since then is one of the longest time periods without at least a 20 percent drop in the S&P 500.

On this latest rally there has been no big thrust in volume or surge in market breadth to suggest a strong up move is forthcoming.  However, there has been no major sign of danger either.  Our models remain overall neutral-positive for the intermediate term which means upside potential remains greater than downside risk.  Weakening momentum patterns remain on the intermediate charts and still need to be monitored.  However, until support levels and uptrends are broken look for higher prices ahead.

These clues will help guide you if the market will continue to advance or weaken.

7 Simple Clues You Want To Follow For a Potential Trend Change

  1. Overseas markets have been strong. Observe the action to see if overseas markets continue to rise or begin to stall and work their way lower. Watch Emerging Markets (EEM), China (FXI) and Europe (IEV) as benchmarks.
  2. Follow the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) if it continues to make new highs or turns down. Keep an eye on Apple (APPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL), and Facebook, (FB) if they start to lag and start to turn down.
  3. High Yield Bonds weaken, turning lower instead of holding their ground or rising. Use the ETF’s HYG or JNK as a benchmark.
  4. The Transportation Average (IYT) has not yet confirmed the Dow Industrials high. If the IYT turns down now and doesn’t close above 175.40 this would not be a good sign.
  5. Volatility remains low. Watch if VIX takes out the August 11 high of 17.28. A warning signal would be if VIX goes above the high made on September 5 at 14.06.
  6. New 52 week lows on the New York Stock Exchange Index are low, presently at 8. An increase to over 150 would not be a good sign.
  7. Watch the last hour of trading. If the major averages closes near the low end of their daily range instead of near the highs, this would be bearish.

 

Keep an eye on the S&P 500 (SPY) For a Breakout

 

The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Daily Price Channel and 19-26-9 MACD

The top part of the chart is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its active daily trading channel.  The S&P 500 Index (SPY) is comprised of 500 stocks of the largest companies in the U.S.   The S&P 500 (SPY) this week made a new all-time high.  The new high coincides with hitting the daily upside channel.  Further strength in the SPY now, will give a new short term channel objective to 259.00, another 3.6% higher.  A break below 239.00 on a closing basis would raise a red flag.

The lower portion of the chart is the 12-26-9 MACD, a measure of momentum.   MACD is on a buy since late August.  MACD is above 0, rising and its pattern has room to the upside before it would be considered extended.  MACD broke its daily down trend from its March 1 peak.

Higher Intermediate Term Upside Objectives For the S&P 500 (SPY)

 

 

 The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Weekly Price Channel and 12-26-9 MACD

The top part of the chart is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its active weekly (intermediate) trading channel. The SPY has had a slow and steady rise this year.  The SPY chart pattern has been in a consolidating pattern, with an upside bias.  The SPY remains clearly in an uptrend (black line).  There has not been even a minor downside penetration of the trendline since the lows were made on 2/8/16.   Declines have been small and for relatively short periods of time. Until this trendline is broken, no serious threat of a major decline should occur.   The upside channel objective is 277.00. Below 239.00 implies more weakness towards the middle channel at 212.00.

Summing Up:

The major averages have made new highs.  However, keep in mind intermediate momentum patterns have not confirmed the recent highs.  The market breadth and volume indicators that we follow have not been strong enough to generate any impulse signals that suggest the rally is sustainable and would be stronger than an average market rise.  There has been no real thrust on the advancing days to get excited about, however not much ground has been given up either.  Our stock market timing models remain neutral-positive, indicating a potentially profitable market climate and potential further gains over the next several weeks to months.

As long as the SPY remains above 239.00, the trend is up and the odds favor the SPY to work its way higher towards the upside channel objective at 277.00.  If the SPY falls below 239.00 on a weekly close, then risk would increase, and the intermediate trend would change from up to down implying more potential weakness towards the middle channel at 212.00.  Ride the trend for now. However, watch for the 7 clues for a potential trend change.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 15, 2017

If you like this article, then you will love this!

Free Instant Access to Grow
Your Wealth and Well-Being E-Book HERE


Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

Remember to share:
Share

For most people, holding down a job and earning a paycheck is their main strategy for achieving financial security. This alone will not get you where you want to go. Isn’t it time for you to create the lifestyle you want and deserve? What actions are you taking to help you grow your wealth? Do you have a system in place to move you closer to your goals? The answers may not be clear. However, in order to live the lifestyle, you’ve dreamed about, you will need to have a plan to turn your income into wealth. The type of wealth that keeps building if you find yourself out of a job or physically unable to work. The type of wealth is what turns dreams into reality.

Wouldn’t it be great if you were able to stop beating yourself up over those past experiences that have held you back from achieving your financial goals or kept you from doing more of what you love to do each day? Guilt and regret are powerful emotions which can hamper your ability to make the powerful decisions needed in order to create the life you’ve dreamed of.

. Changes with less stress and strain because they are made over time and do not have to happen all at once.

 Whether you’re under 20, in your mid 40’s, or over 65, it’s possible to make life changes for the better that involve money. You ideally can start today with small adjustments that will make a big difference for your future. Changes so you will ultimately enjoy getting out of bed so you can do what you love to do and then finish the day sleeping peacefully instead of worried about your finances.

How can you make this happen? Well, I’m glad you asked…

The first step is to decide NOW (not tomorrow, next week, or next year) your financial security is a priority.  The next step is changing your mindset from seeing yourself only working for your money and shifting to the understanding it’s important now your money will need to work for you. How? This will be done by investing in the stock market. 

It may have crossed your mind and you now wonder if you’d be taking a chance with your hard earned money by investing in the stock market. Keep in mind that although stocks are riskier than keeping money in a savings account or Certificate of Deposit (CD’s) with a fixed yield, they have historically had higher returns that beat inflation helping you grow your wealth. That’s great news for you because it opens the door of opportunity for you to generate an additional source of income. Again, your money will be working for you.

It’s also important to note that I’m not suggesting you should jump all in. The idea is to start slow and small. I want you to be successful with your finances but I also want you to understand this shift in thinking requires you to take steps that may take you out of your comfort zone. This is why it’s important to make small adjustments because as you grow with your knowledge and experience you will find those decisions will ultimately pay off with feelings of ease and satisfaction.

One of the best strategies I’ve seen through my years of experience is to begin your financial plan with long and short term goal oriented action steps that are fun, simple, and practical for you. Simply put, these goals fit you and your life. You are not at a loss with this type of approach because as your skills improve, your comfort level and confidence will develop and continue to grow as well. Making adjustments as needed will also help your success. Start using a few of these tips now, and see how they will support you to grow your wealth. Please feel free to share your experiences.

9 Practical Financial Rituals for Growing Your Wealth

  1. Diversify your investments into a broad mix of stocks and bonds. Don’t put all 100 percent of your money in stocks. Use mutual funds which lets you own a mix of stocks or bonds in a portfolio to manage your risk. Investing in mutual funds that diversify with a group of stocks or bonds is much safer than putting all your money into one or two stocks or bonds.
  2. Review your investment asset allocation periodically. Start saving and investing as early as you can. Create a plan you will follow. Small sums of money add up over time.
  3. As you grow older it’s a good idea to move your assets into less-risky investments. A quick rule of thumb is to have an allocation to bonds that is equal to your age. When the market climate is positive, you could increase your allocation to have a little more equity, however, have an exit strategy for when the trend changes.
  4. Track your investments costs. High trading costs eat into your gains over time.
  5. Keep control of your emotions when investing. The stock market can go up and down very quickly.  Know your time horizon for investing whether it’s for 1 year or less, 5, 10, or 20 years or more.
  6. Don’t have more money invested than you are comfortable with. Its ok to reduce your invested position in small increments. If you are worried and not sleeping at night, you are too invested. Manage your risk. Avoid taking large losses on your investments. Remember small losses are the best losses you can have.
  7. Don’t be afraid to talk about our finances. Don’t hide from the conversation. If you are feeling a bit unsure, look for some help from a coach, investment adviser, or a financial planner who could help you create changes to support you on your journey to wealth.
  8. Take advantage to contribute into a retirement savings plan if offered by your employer. Start with a few percent of your income and then increase the contribution to 10%.
  9. If you need to withdraw money to live on because you are not working, see if you can limit yourself to withdrawing 4 percent or less a year. In this way, you will preserve your capital for later years in life so you don’t run out of money. 

Financial security is important. Take responsibility for your money by developing practical financial rituals that will create a lifestyle you want and deserve. Your plan doesn’t have to be hard or disruptive to your everyday life. Start your plan now and fulfill your hopes, dreams, and goals growing your wealth.

 

12345...