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An amazing run for the stock market continues.  Record highs, new winning streaks of consecutive gains for the major averages, low volatility, and no fear have been this year’s story.  May-October, with September the worst month, has historically been a weak period for the stock market but this year profits were made.

What to expect now?

Although there have been warnings of weakening momentum patterns, no serious decline materialized. The present tape action suggests there are no signs of a market top.  The technical picture of the market remains positive, with short term price up trends and support levels intact.  Market breadth indicators are positive, the advance/decline line has made new highs and in a few weeks favorable seasonality will begin.

The bulls remain in control until proven otherwise.  Until a trend change appears or more warning signs in the tape occur, we are likely to higher prices in the months ahead.   Financials regained their spark.  Overseas markets are outperforming the U.S. market, especially emerging markets.  It’s also bullish that small and mid-cap stocks have rebounded after some short term weakness.  The same pattern looks to be happening in the technology sector.   A shift has occurred.  Prices have firmed, weakness in technology stocks appears over, momentum patterns are improving, and higher prices are imminent.

Technology could now be ready to lead again.

 Figure:  PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index) Daily Price and Trend Channel (Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

 

The top part of the chart shows the daily Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index and its operative trend channel. The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization.  As of 10/10/17, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 11.50%, Alphabet Inc. 9.11% (Class C, GOOG, and Class A, GOOGL combined), Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 8.45%, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) 6.82%, and Facebook, Inc. Class A (FB) 5.85%,.

The rally in technology stalled in July and September (red circles) failing to generate enough momentum to reach the upper channel as it did in early June (purple circle).  However, the intermediate trend remains up for technology (QQQ).

The decline in the QQQ was contained holding the lower channel.  However, in the last two weeks the QQQ rallied to near the middle channel (green), closing today at 148.02, consolidating under key resistance at 150.00.  A break above 150.00 would imply further gains to at least 155.00 and possibly as high as 173.00.  As long as the QQQ remains above the September low at 142.10, the trend is up and higher prices are likely.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9), a measure of momentum. MACD just missed going below 0 before its recent turn up, a promising MACD pattern.  The downtrend from June has been broken (black line).  MACD is showing strength, very close to surpassing its September peak breaking the pattern of lower highs.  MACD is signifying an increase in momentum as well as giving an advanced warning of a potential advance.

The near term is bullish for top Holdings of QQQ

Figure:  Daily Price of Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) Apple (AAPL), and 12-26-9 Daily MACD

 

In the near term technology stocks look higher.  Favorable MACD patterns exist on Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL).  If the top holdings in the QQQ remain strong, and hold above support, further gains for the overall market are likely too.  I recommend watching the performance of the top holdings in the QQQ over the next several days-weeks for further clues in market direction.  For aggressive investors and traders here are some key levels for guidance.

Microsoft (MSFT), one of the strongest top holdings of the QQQ has already made a new high. MSFT has successfully tested its August breakout.  Support is at 72.92.  Resistance is at 77.00. Upside objective is at 80.00.

Facebook (FB), remains in an uptrend from July and is trading near its highs.  Resistance is 175.49. Upside objective is at 186.00.  Support is at 161.56.

Amazon (AMZN) broke its short term down trend from July.  Resistance is at 1003.00 followed by 1050.00 and 1083.00. Support is at 931.75.

Apple (AAPL) made a new all-time high in August at 164.80 and then fell out of favor with investors, pulling back to 149.16.  This week Apple broke its short term down trend from August. Support is at 150.00.  Resistance is at 165.00.  Upside objective is at 175.00.

The lower portion of each chart shows the technical indicator MACD, a measure of momentum.  MACD has generated a buy for all 4 stocks Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL), These MACD buys are considered bullish for the near term and confirms the positive shift in trend from down to up.

Summing Up:

The major averages are near or at their highs. The tape action suggests there are no signs of an impending market top now or in the near future.  The trend remains up. Unfavorable seasonality will turn favorable in a few weeks which I believe will bode well for the balance of the year.  Favorable MACD patterns exist on Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Apple (AAPL) in the near term.  If the top holdings in the QQQ remain strong, and hold above support, further gains for the overall market are likely to continue to trend higher.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

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*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 28, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

 

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Historically September has not been favorable for stocks, with the S&P 500 declining a majority of the time. But surprisingly this September the major averages are near or at new highs, positive for the month. The major averages didn’t give up much ground after the Fed meeting and political concerns overseas.  The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged but implied they would increase interest rates one more time by year-end, despite low inflation. There was a noticeable shift that took place as investors took profits rotating out of some of the leading sectors this year such as Technology and Utilities, and moved into sectors that were lagging.  Energy, Industrials, and Financials were the big winners.

The bullish case remains for the overall market. Our equity timing models remain overall on a “hold” suggesting further gains are likely with risk contained.   The advance decline line of the New York Stock Exchange Index and Transportation average has confirmed the major average highs suggesting a market top is unlikely.  The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) ETF is trending higher leading the advance, a healthy sign for the market. However, there are some sectors showing a loss of upside momentum, which means stock and sector selection will be more important going into the fourth quarter and early next year.

 Health Care (XLV), a leader so far this year might have hit its peak.

  Figure: Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV, top and MACD 12-26-9 (bottom)

The top portion of the chart above is the weekly Health Care SPDR (XLV) that is comprised of companies from industry groups including pharmaceuticals; health care providers & services; health care equipment & supplies; biotechnology; life sciences tools & services; and health care technology.  As of 09/25/17, the top 5 holdings in the XLV were Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) 11.26%, Pfizer (PFE) 6.78%, United Health Group (UNH) 5.98%, Merck (MRK) 5.70%, and AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) 4.41%, totaling 34.13%. Except for a few short term declines, Healthcare (XLV) in 2017 has trended higher and is up 18.00% through 09/26/17, outperforming the S&P 500.

The biggest holding, Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) has been trending down. MACD is on a sell along with a bearish negative divergence. JNJ has broken its uptrend from January 2017 (chart not shown).

Notice in the top chart, how the XLV made a new high in July, breaking through its old high, but stalled immediately.   A few weeks later the XLV pulled back to 77.82 (red circle) successfully testing its breakout then rising for three weeks to make a new high at 83.41.  It’s encouraging the XLV uptrend remains in effect from February 2017.  However, in the last two weeks, investors have shifted away from healthcare and some short term selling pressure has begun.

The bottom half of the chart shows MACD, a measure of momentum.  MACD is on a sell and the MACD pattern is suggesting a possible peak for the short term in healthcare (XLV).  MACD is above 0, rolling over with a double top, forming a negative divergence (a higher high in price but a lower high in MACD, (green circles).

The moment of truth is here. There are two significant uptrend lines in jeopardy if the XLV continues to decline.  The uptrend from 02/08/17 would be broken (pink line) on any further weakness. However, the longer term uptrend in MACD from 12/5/16 remains intact (orange line).

In Sum: Healthcare has had a substantial rise.  Declining momentum patterns are appearing signaling some weakness might lie ahead. Keep an eye if the XLV breaks below support at 77.82 on a weekly close.  Now is not a good time to be over invested in health care.  Caution is warranted, the party could be coming to an end soon.

More evidence: A potential shift away from Health Care (XLV) in the short term.

Figure: Daily (XLV) / (SPY) Ratio (Top); MACD of XLV/SPY Ratio (Bottom)

The chart above is the daily Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF/ S&P 500 ratio XLV/SPY.  A rising line means the XLV is stronger, and if falling, the S&P 500 is stronger.  The XLV/SPY ratio has been in an uptrend since January 2017.  Since the peak on September 8, 2017, the XLV/SPY ratio has turned down, giving a warning of deteriorating momentum in comparison to the S&P 500 (SPY). The uptrend was broken today.

The bottom half of the chart shows the 12-26-9 MACD, on the XLV/SPY ratio. MACD recently generated a sell, turning down from an overbought condition.  Notice the negative divergence in the MACD pattern.  MACD formed a lower high than the peak in June (green circles) while the XLV/SPY ratio in the top chart made a high, (red circles) suggesting a shift in trend has started and more weakness in XLV is expected compared to S&P 500.

I am recommending you review your holdings, making sure you are not over weight in health care.

Summing Up:

The stock market advance continued through September, one of the weakest months historically. Investors appear to be rotating out of some of the leading sectors starting with Nasdaq early in September.  Health care, (XLV)  one of the strongest sectors of the market this year, is giving warning signals of weakening momentum compared to the S&P 500 (SPY),  suggesting it too might hit a bump in the road.  I recommend reviewing your portfolio and reducing your healthcare exposure.  If Healthcare (XLV) breaks below 77.82, on a weekly close this would trigger further selling.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

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*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 28, 2017

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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The bears were unable to take control through the ups and downs during July and August. Normally a weak market period, the averages had a modest pullback, holding above key support levels and working off their daily overbought condition.   After the short decline without much price fluctuation, the major averages formed favorable technical patterns on a daily basis  from oversold conditions. The bulls stepped in to buy and the bears were disappointed once again.  At the time of this writing, we remain in a rally phase that began in the end of August. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq made new record closing highs on September 12.  

Price trends seem to be more significant indicating market direction than weakening momentum patterns.  The recent rise occurred even thought there were clear negative patterns on many intermediate charts.  It’s good to keep in mind, there has been not been a bear market since March 2009, when the past bear market ended.  The rise in equities since then is one of the longest time periods without at least a 20 percent drop in the S&P 500.

On this latest rally there has been no big thrust in volume or surge in market breadth to suggest a strong up move is forthcoming.  However, there has been no major sign of danger either.  Our models remain overall neutral-positive for the intermediate term which means upside potential remains greater than downside risk.  Weakening momentum patterns remain on the intermediate charts and still need to be monitored.  However, until support levels and uptrends are broken look for higher prices ahead.

These clues will help guide you if the market will continue to advance or weaken.

7 Simple Clues You Want To Follow For a Potential Trend Change

  1. Overseas markets have been strong. Observe the action to see if overseas markets continue to rise or begin to stall and work their way lower. Watch Emerging Markets (EEM), China (FXI) and Europe (IEV) as benchmarks.
  2. Follow the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) if it continues to make new highs or turns down. Keep an eye on Apple (APPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL), and Facebook, (FB) if they start to lag and start to turn down.
  3. High Yield Bonds weaken, turning lower instead of holding their ground or rising. Use the ETF’s HYG or JNK as a benchmark.
  4. The Transportation Average (IYT) has not yet confirmed the Dow Industrials high. If the IYT turns down now and doesn’t close above 175.40 this would not be a good sign.
  5. Volatility remains low. Watch if VIX takes out the August 11 high of 17.28. A warning signal would be if VIX goes above the high made on September 5 at 14.06.
  6. New 52 week lows on the New York Stock Exchange Index are low, presently at 8. An increase to over 150 would not be a good sign.
  7. Watch the last hour of trading. If the major averages closes near the low end of their daily range instead of near the highs, this would be bearish.

 

Keep an eye on the S&P 500 (SPY) For a Breakout

 

The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Daily Price Channel and 19-26-9 MACD

The top part of the chart is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its active daily trading channel.  The S&P 500 Index (SPY) is comprised of 500 stocks of the largest companies in the U.S.   The S&P 500 (SPY) this week made a new all-time high.  The new high coincides with hitting the daily upside channel.  Further strength in the SPY now, will give a new short term channel objective to 259.00, another 3.6% higher.  A break below 239.00 on a closing basis would raise a red flag.

The lower portion of the chart is the 12-26-9 MACD, a measure of momentum.   MACD is on a buy since late August.  MACD is above 0, rising and its pattern has room to the upside before it would be considered extended.  MACD broke its daily down trend from its March 1 peak.

Higher Intermediate Term Upside Objectives For the S&P 500 (SPY)

 

 

 The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) Weekly Price Channel and 12-26-9 MACD

The top part of the chart is the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its active weekly (intermediate) trading channel. The SPY has had a slow and steady rise this year.  The SPY chart pattern has been in a consolidating pattern, with an upside bias.  The SPY remains clearly in an uptrend (black line).  There has not been even a minor downside penetration of the trendline since the lows were made on 2/8/16.   Declines have been small and for relatively short periods of time. Until this trendline is broken, no serious threat of a major decline should occur.   The upside channel objective is 277.00. Below 239.00 implies more weakness towards the middle channel at 212.00.

Summing Up:

The major averages have made new highs.  However, keep in mind intermediate momentum patterns have not confirmed the recent highs.  The market breadth and volume indicators that we follow have not been strong enough to generate any impulse signals that suggest the rally is sustainable and would be stronger than an average market rise.  There has been no real thrust on the advancing days to get excited about, however not much ground has been given up either.  Our stock market timing models remain neutral-positive, indicating a potentially profitable market climate and potential further gains over the next several weeks to months.

As long as the SPY remains above 239.00, the trend is up and the odds favor the SPY to work its way higher towards the upside channel objective at 277.00.  If the SPY falls below 239.00 on a weekly close, then risk would increase, and the intermediate trend would change from up to down implying more potential weakness towards the middle channel at 212.00.  Ride the trend for now. However, watch for the 7 clues for a potential trend change.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 15, 2017

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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For most people, holding down a job and earning a paycheck is their main strategy for achieving financial security. This alone will not get you where you want to go. Isn’t it time for you to create the lifestyle you want and deserve? What actions are you taking to help you grow your wealth? Do you have a system in place to move you closer to your goals? The answers may not be clear. However, in order to live the lifestyle, you’ve dreamed about, you will need to have a plan to turn your income into wealth. The type of wealth that keeps building if you find yourself out of a job or physically unable to work. The type of wealth is what turns dreams into reality.

Wouldn’t it be great if you were able to stop beating yourself up over those past experiences that have held you back from achieving your financial goals or kept you from doing more of what you love to do each day? Guilt and regret are powerful emotions which can hamper your ability to make the powerful decisions needed in order to create the life you’ve dreamed of.

. Changes with less stress and strain because they are made over time and do not have to happen all at once.

 Whether you’re under 20, in your mid 40’s, or over 65, it’s possible to make life changes for the better that involve money. You ideally can start today with small adjustments that will make a big difference for your future. Changes so you will ultimately enjoy getting out of bed so you can do what you love to do and then finish the day sleeping peacefully instead of worried about your finances.

How can you make this happen? Well, I’m glad you asked…

The first step is to decide NOW (not tomorrow, next week, or next year) your financial security is a priority.  The next step is changing your mindset from seeing yourself only working for your money and shifting to the understanding it’s important now your money will need to work for you. How? This will be done by investing in the stock market. 

It may have crossed your mind and you now wonder if you’d be taking a chance with your hard earned money by investing in the stock market. Keep in mind that although stocks are riskier than keeping money in a savings account or Certificate of Deposit (CD’s) with a fixed yield, they have historically had higher returns that beat inflation helping you grow your wealth. That’s great news for you because it opens the door of opportunity for you to generate an additional source of income. Again, your money will be working for you.

It’s also important to note that I’m not suggesting you should jump all in. The idea is to start slow and small. I want you to be successful with your finances but I also want you to understand this shift in thinking requires you to take steps that may take you out of your comfort zone. This is why it’s important to make small adjustments because as you grow with your knowledge and experience you will find those decisions will ultimately pay off with feelings of ease and satisfaction.

One of the best strategies I’ve seen through my years of experience is to begin your financial plan with long and short term goal oriented action steps that are fun, simple, and practical for you. Simply put, these goals fit you and your life. You are not at a loss with this type of approach because as your skills improve, your comfort level and confidence will develop and continue to grow as well. Making adjustments as needed will also help your success. Start using a few of these tips now, and see how they will support you to grow your wealth. Please feel free to share your experiences.

9 Practical Financial Rituals for Growing Your Wealth

  1. Diversify your investments into a broad mix of stocks and bonds. Don’t put all 100 percent of your money in stocks. Use mutual funds which lets you own a mix of stocks or bonds in a portfolio to manage your risk. Investing in mutual funds that diversify with a group of stocks or bonds is much safer than putting all your money into one or two stocks or bonds.
  2. Review your investment asset allocation periodically. Start saving and investing as early as you can. Create a plan you will follow. Small sums of money add up over time.
  3. As you grow older it’s a good idea to move your assets into less-risky investments. A quick rule of thumb is to have an allocation to bonds that is equal to your age. When the market climate is positive, you could increase your allocation to have a little more equity, however, have an exit strategy for when the trend changes.
  4. Track your investments costs. High trading costs eat into your gains over time.
  5. Keep control of your emotions when investing. The stock market can go up and down very quickly.  Know your time horizon for investing whether it’s for 1 year or less, 5, 10, or 20 years or more.
  6. Don’t have more money invested than you are comfortable with. Its ok to reduce your invested position in small increments. If you are worried and not sleeping at night, you are too invested. Manage your risk. Avoid taking large losses on your investments. Remember small losses are the best losses you can have.
  7. Don’t be afraid to talk about our finances. Don’t hide from the conversation. If you are feeling a bit unsure, look for some help from a coach, investment adviser, or a financial planner who could help you create changes to support you on your journey to wealth.
  8. Take advantage to contribute into a retirement savings plan if offered by your employer. Start with a few percent of your income and then increase the contribution to 10%.
  9. If you need to withdraw money to live on because you are not working, see if you can limit yourself to withdrawing 4 percent or less a year. In this way, you will preserve your capital for later years in life so you don’t run out of money. 

Financial security is important. Take responsibility for your money by developing practical financial rituals that will create a lifestyle you want and deserve. Your plan doesn’t have to be hard or disruptive to your everyday life. Start your plan now and fulfill your hopes, dreams, and goals growing your wealth.

 

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The market remains very resilient.   The bulls appear to be in control again after the bears were unable to take the market down.  Major averages are only a few percent away from their highs after the recent short term decline.   Investors continue to be enamored with technology stocks.   Apple is (APPL) leading the way, making new all-time highs this past week. However, intermediate momentum patterns are weakening.

The good news is the market is oversold on a short term basis, suggesting more gains in the early part of the month are a good possibility. However, keep in mind September is not a favorable month historically.  Also, intermediate and long term chart patterns are not in favorable position. Many have potential negative divergences that could cause the rally to fizzle if the buyers turn to sellers.

Our models remain overall neutral-positive for the intermediate term (weeks-months).  If there is a decline, it should be limited.

Keep an eye on Technology for leadership or trouble ahead.

PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index) Weekly Price and Trend Channels (Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

The top part of the chart shows the weekly Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index and its operative trend channel. The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization. As of 08/30/17, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 12.51%, Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 8.40%, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) 6.80%, Facebook, Inc. Class A (FB) 5.90%, Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) 4.74%, and Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL), 4.13 % totaling 42.48%.

The QQQ breached the middle channel after a 9-week consolidation (red circle) on 04/24/17.  Buyers stepped in and the QQQ rallied for several weeks. However, the rally was not strong enough to reach the upper channel.  At the present time, the QQQ has successfully pulled back for the second time, testing the breakout from June, as of this writing at 145.48.  The intermediate trend remains up as long as the QQQ remains above its trend line (see the orange line).  As long as the QQQ remains above key support at 139.00, the QQQ could work its way higher, potentially to the upside channel objective at 161.00.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9), a measure of momentum. MACD is giving a different message than price.  In June, MACD confirmed the price high suggesting further gains ahead and any decline would be short lived and contained.  This is not what MACD is saying now.  MACD has given a sell. Notice the clear negative divergence in MACD (green circles).  Price made a high that wasn’t confirmed by MACD.  The sell might be a bit early, however tops take a longer time to form than bottoms.  I recommend keeping an eye on the top holdings in the QQQ over the next several weeks for when and if they start to decline and causing pressure on the QQQ, giving an advanced warning of a trend change.

 

Weekly Price of Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL), and Facebook, (FB) and MACD 12-26-9

Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL), and Facebook, (FB) are all top holdings of the QQQ, and are in weekly price uptrends (orange line). MACD in all four stocks is overbought. Alphabet Inc A (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) remain in an uptrend based on price similar to the QQQ.  Both stocks are on a MACD sell with the uptrend broken, not a favorable pattern. The risk is high at this time.  Microsoft (MSFT) is at key price support, MACD has stopped rising, and threatening to break it’s up trend. Facebook, (FB) is under its all-time high and looks to be the strongest of the four stocks.  MACD has made higher highs confirming the strength of the stock.  As long as these stocks remain firm, the QQQ should continue higher towards the upside objective of 161.00.

Summing Up:

Our models remain overall neutral-positive for the intermediate term which means upside potential remains greater than downside risk. Investors continue to find joy in technology stocks that are leading the latest advance.  The intermediate uptrend in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) price and four of its top holdings, Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet INC A (GOOGL), and Facebook, (FB) are all intact which is bullish.  As long as the QQQ remains above its key support of 139.00, the QQQ could work its way higher to the upside channel objective at 161.00.  If the QQQ falls below 139.00 on a weekly close, the risk would increase, as the intermediate trend would change from up to down implying weakness could occur, towards the lower channel at 113.00.  The rally has come to life. However, intermediate momentum patterns say it could be short lived and fizzle.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts September 01, 2017

If you like this article, then you will love this!

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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It’s been well-established by many successful entrepreneurs that intuition plays a crucial role in their success.

Steve Jobs, Sir Richard Branson, Oprah and Arianna Huffington …. among others have been quoted several times regarding intuition.

This is one of my favorites:

THE HARDSHIP IN CONNECTING AND RELYING ON INTUITION:

Yet despite the “understanding” that this is a necessary skill to succeed in business and life, few people take the time to immerse themselves into truly developing their intuitive gifts (unless they are of course healers or psychics).

But for the rest of us mortals, it appears like there’s something akin to: “yeah, yeah…that’s nice, but I need some REAL skills, I need some PRACTICAL skills” to grow my business.

Perhaps it feels like it’s such an abstract set of skills that we are unsure about HOW to develop them, HOW to practice or HOW to use them effectively in our business.

Our world is dominated by an over-abundance of masculine energy. The energy of yang is the energy of action, movement and getting things done. It’s the energy of manifestation and the masculine energy that we, Westerners, have come to revere so deeply.

This is the energy of action and results. What our entire economy is based on. We value “hard work”. We believe we must work hard in order to succeed and therefore if we want success the more we work, the more “exalted” we become in our minds.

There are so many common beliefs that cement this practice:

“No pain, No Gain”;

“Work now, Play later.”

“Money doesn’t grow on trees,”

“Early bird, gets the worm.”

And yet…consistent action, movement, and hard work are pointless if there’s no depth, no purpose and no integrated meaning behind our actions.

There’s also a point of diminishing results.

As a high-performance psychologist, one of the things we teach people is that there is this “Inverted U Theory”, which states that increases in effort and arousal will yield a performance increase…

Up to a certain point (ONLY), after which, further increases in effort and arousal will yield a DECREASE in performance. To the point that the harder you work, the worse results you will get.

As “old” as this theory and practical piece of knowledge is in our performance psychology field, it hasn’t actually permeated the everyday world.

People are STILL working as hard as they can, waving a flag of pride and martyrdom until they land in burnout or experience health consequences.

Then we have this “wake up moment”, but sadly, we don’t know HOW to do things differently, and as hard as we TRY…it’s difficult to circumvent well-established wiring and neuro pathways that “tell us” that hard work is the ONLY road to success.

So.HOW do we extricate ourselves from this merry-go-round?

How do we exit the fast train in which Gurus, exploit our doubts and sense of inadequacy by selling us on yet “another tactical skill” (webinars, live events, FB ads, you name it), that will keep us in this constant feedback loop of not-good-enough, overwork, overwhelm and burnout?

We need the balancing form of Feminine energy or yin. The RECEPTIVE, the intuitive and the loving, collaborative nature of this energy. It is an energy of depth, insight, wisdom, and magic.

The answer is simple in essence and complex in execution (which is why not more people are doing it.)

Yep. It’s that simple. The difficulty comes when our minds and egos get involved. And the smarter you are, the more you’ll struggle to listen and follow your intuition because you are so accustomed to relying on your cognition.

WHY IS INTUITION SO CRUCIAL IN BUSINESS?

When we can connect and use our intuition we are able to become more efficient and maximize the work we do.

In the most basic sense, intuition is about LISTENING…is about developing the listening skills to “hear” your Highest Guidance, but also to tune into your ideal clients and sense what do they need?

What would be most beneficial and valuable to them?

At what level would they be able/willing to invest in?

And if you can be perceptive enough to receive this information and KNOW what will be of most value, you will circumvent so much time, energy and frustration as you’d be tuned into what you need to provide.

Following this pathway, I’ve generated up to $18,500 in a single day and built a multi 6-Figure Business.

Intuition will allow you to KNOW WITH CLARITY AND CERTAINTY what is YOUR path.

WHO to hire as a mentor.

WHAT opportunity to pursue that will support your greatest evolution.

And it allows you to enter a state of grace and flow.

HOW DO I GET THERE?

There is a simple and joyful pathway to this: PLAY.

Yep, you heard me right. Play.

Play is the action that returns us back to our “natural selves”. That connects us to “our inner child” where creativity, innovation, adventure, intuition, and curiosity reside.

There is obviously so much more to developing your intuition in powerful ways that will serve your business and life, but PLAY can be a GATEWAY through which you can begin to establish this connection.

And of course, we’ll weave in some of the science and the practices to get you there!

To Join the FREE 5-Day PLAYFUL PROFITS Challenge click Here

Allow yourself to playfully learn and experiment with some tools to help you get more connected and in a spirit of fun and adventure.

Visit Here to learn how!

And if you are reading this after the challenge and THIS SPOKE TO YOU and you KNOW this is the path you must take to GROW your leadership and your business, then feel free to request a free consultation at:

www.intuitivebusinesmastery.com/schedule

Dr. Elena Estanol is a #1 Best-selling author, Peak performance psychologist & Intuitive Prosperity Business Mentor who has been up-leveling speakers, performers, athletes, coaches & purpose-based entrepreneurs to become extraordinary beings and legendary leaders for over 16 years. Her unique system In Flow and On Fire TM unlocks & unleashes your unlimited potential, to take courageous action to defy the ordinary and become extraordinary in business & life. Her unique system aligns mind, body & spirit to manifest her client’s visions and build profitable and transformational businesses that change the world.

 

 

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Discover How Happiness, Fun, and Success Gives You Inner Peace

Having fun, enjoying life is the way you want to live. However, many people live feeling stressed instead of feeling inner peace.  If you are at the point where you have spent too many days not enjoying yourself it’s time to create change. When was the last you took some time off? Switching from my fast paced lifestyle in New York to being on Aruba’s “One Happy Island (my home away from home) was night and day. Making the shift was worth it because I feel the best I’ve felt in ages after returning from a 3-week vacation at the Casa Del Mar Resort with my family and friends.  In case you have never been there, the island of Aruba is only about 21 miles and located in the southern part of the Caribbean Sea. Aruba may be small, but it’s a perfect place to unwind and relax. Don’t let it take years for you to invest in your well-being and have fun and immerse yourself in feeling refreshed and rejuvenated.

Relaxation is key if you wish to gain the full benefit from any vacation. Your mind and body need time, peace, and quiet. Once you make the decision and get settled then your mindset is ready to take full advantage of your vacation experience.  Whether on vacation or in life, it’s good to unwind and truly “BE”.  One of my most favorite experiences was taking part at the resort offered the class, Chair Yoga for the second year in a row with an incredible teacher, Gladys M Duarte. I discovered again how this low impact exercise strengthens your body and calms your spirit. It was also a great way to meet people in a fun and relaxing environment. I encourage you to find one in your area, so you can incorporate inner peace and exercise into your life. 

Needless to say, we had a blast. I ended up participating in 9 classes over my vacation. The vibrant Caribbean backdrop didn’t disappoint, my classes took place around beautiful trees near our pool and you could feel the wonderful sea breeze while working through each routine. I’m filled with plenty of fond memories and if you are struggling with stress, anxiety, or find it difficult to relax then I highly recommend chair yoga. By the end of the three weeks, I felt better than when I arrived and filled with a sense of well-being. It was a feeling of renewed peace and tranquility, and one I’d like for you to experience as well.


Some Benefits of Chair Yoga:

  • It’s a great way to relax from head to toe giving you a sense of peace as your mind relaxes.
  • Chair yoga is a quick way to stretch your body and relieve tension. It’s much healthier for you instead of reaching for food to comfort you.
  • It will increase your range of motion by opening your hips, moving your shoulders and neck. It feels so good.
  • Total body benefits as it increases blood circulation and stimulates the elimination of body toxins.
  • Improves balance, posture, flexibility, and mobility of the feet, toes, and hands.

Note- On September 17th Gladys will be here in the states at “NY Fit Fest” in Long Beach, New York, teaching with other world-renowned athletes, leading activities ranging from sunrise yoga, meditation, surfing, dance, health and more.

Life is full of choices. Make your well-being a top priority and plan some quiet time into your life. You’ll find yourself less stressed and it’s good for your overall well-being because you will feel refreshed, relaxed and rejuvenated. Having a ritual to start your day will lead you to more success. Your mindset matters and how you feel determines the actions you take each day. My coach Sheri Kaye Hoff put together a group of expert professionals sharing their ideas for creating a successful mindset. It has helped me to live my life in a proactive manner instead of reacting to all that comes my way. I would like to share and inspire you to create a success ritual now, contact me and we’ll create a plan that will provide you the best outcome for your life. 

 Instead of focusing on problems and what is negative lean into success by establishing new habits. Make the commitment today by living a life filled with health, wealth, and happiness. When you look for solutions, new opportunities, and instill within yourself the desire for something better you will enjoy life. Routines give your life meaning and purpose. Decide today what goals are most important and what you want to achieve. A focused effort for real change can make a difference in your life and the lives of others. All you need is a plan and put in the effort to get you there. 

Here is how I define success.

Simple Practices I Follow for Focus on a Successful Mindset

Writing down what I am grateful for gave me an uplifting feeling to start or end my day.

Having a commitment to exercise at least 4 times a week relaxes my mind, releases tension, frustration and strengthens my body.  I ride my stationary bike for 30 minutes, lift weights or do pushups to motivate and inspire me.

Changing my diet from a regular routine of pizza, Chinese food, white rice and gravy, bagels, fried foods and chips to reducing each one of them one at a time. Approaching food in this manner helped me to create new habits of choosing healthier foods without depriving myself while on my well-being journey.  Instead of a seeing this change as a “diet”, I looked at it as a slow and steady lifestyle change. Framing within my mind in this way helped me to overcome mentality what was keeping me from achieving my permanent weight loss.

Focusing on my personal development and personal growth was and remains my way to success.  Hiring a life coach opened a new world of self-discovery and personal growth to embrace and experience. Getting the support I needed in several areas of my life and having an accountability partner to turn to for guidance, inspired motivated and helped me stay on track.

Going out of my comfort zone and starting a blog gave me the confidence to write my first book which was something I never imagined doing.

For inspiration, I turned to listening to audio recordings of spiritual music, meditation, and courses to keep moving forward as I pursued my dreams.

Be patient and enjoy the journey and dream big.  Keep doing the things you love instead of being worried and filled with fear of what might happen next.   Learn how to create success by taking simple steps that move you forward.  Focus on changing any negative attitude that may linger and push yourself to have a positive winning mindset. The effort will soon turn into a habit that will transform your life. Decide today to create change and improve your well-being by creating a life filled with happiness, success. You’ll discover the brighter side of life while having more fun living the lifestyle you desire.

 

You can read more Expert Ideas for Creating a Successful Mindset here: https://sherikayehoff.com/expert-ideas-for-creating-a-successful-mindset/

You don’t have to spend your days being worried and frustrated. Enjoy life and have fun! Here are… 

9 Easy Ways to Soothe Your Soul

  1. Have more fun in your life.
  2. Do something you have never done before.
  3. Read a book or 2 or 3.
  4. Take a nap outside in nature.
  5. Be mindful of what you put into your body.
  6. Do what you love.
  7. Help others. Sharing is caring.
  8. Stop worrying about what people think.
  9. Be you.
  10. Write a poem.

I was thinking of you while on vacation and wrote a poem to inspire you to create more inner peace so you can enjoy life.

 

Discover Inner Peace Now

Don’t worry about the past 

Life goes by fast 

Feeling the wind with my eyes closed

No worries, no woes soon to doze

Your mind might wander about

Trust you can heal your doubt

Looking up into the sky

Watching the palm trees move, thinking of my why

Being still was unheard of in the past

Now in seconds it’s possible to make it last

Positive thoughts fill my mind

Smiling as I unwind

Take time for you

Choose what you love to do

Step out of your comfort zone instead of being in fear

Listen to your inner guidance, wisdom and hear

Don’t give up on your dreams

Start thinking of how to build your support teams

Surround yourself with people sharing and caring

Open your heart, be bold and daring

Control your attitude

Live your life in gratitude

Do what you love each day

Don’t stop until you find the way

Embrace, experience, engage with an open mind

Today, and at all times, remember to be kind

Go at your own pace

Compassion makes the world a better place.

Inner peace is yours

When you are willing, you will see many open doors

Go with the flow and experience the new

Each day, may peace be with you

 

 

Do all you can to giving yourself the best opportunity to live life to the fullest. Share your gifts with the world so you too can discover your own path. You are meant to be happy and fulfilled. Continue to seek out answers and be open to all that will unfold. The answers will surprise you.

To your health, wealth, and happiness,

Bonnie Gortler
The Inspired Wealth and Well-Being Coach

 

 

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New record highs in price on the major averages such as the S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq Composite Index and Russell 2000 occurred in late July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) penetrated another round number, the 22,000 level. However, what is disturbing are technical indicators measuring momentum, such as MACD didn’t surpass its momentum highs from June. Fear has been on the rise as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the stock market’s fear measure, spiked on the recent short term decline in August after many days of low volatility.

Our models remain overall neutral-positive, suggesting further gains are expected with downside risk remaining modest. Investors remain focused on many items including economic data for a possible December rate hike, a potential decrease in taxes, new health reform, and world events.  Some investors remain on the sidelines waiting for more clarity, or on vacation taking some time off like me.  The market was very quiet for over two weeks while I was gone and then last week, the tone of the market seemed to have changed.  The market no longer was in a consolidation pattern. The S&P 500 index fell 1.4%, its worst week since March, while the Nasdaq lost 1.5%.  The leader of the decline was small-cap stocks.  The Russell 2000 index (IWM) fell last week 2.7%, its biggest one week decline since February 2016.  It’s not a healthy sign when small caps are weaker than the overall market.

Watch the Movement Now of Small Caps Closely- iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Weekly Price (Top), and 12-26-9 Week MACD (Bottom)

The top portion of the chart shows the weekly iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) which is made up of companies with a market capitalization of between $300 million and $2 billion. The IWM made a high of 138.82 on 12/08/16 stopping at its upper channel.  The IWM went sideways for about 8 weeks, not giving up much ground.  The pattern of slightly higher highs continued followed by small pullbacks (purple circles).  None of the pullbacks that occurred penetrated the uptrend that was in effect.  This latest peak in July (red circle) failed again to penetrate the channel, and the uptrend is in jeopardy of being broken.

The lower portion of the chart is MACD, a technical indicator that measures momentum. MACD has an ugly looking pattern. Initially, MACD confirmed the price high in December 2016. On the following advances to new highs, MACD failed to confirm. Now momentum is clearly weakening and the formation is spread over 29 weeks. Usually, a divergence spread over time is a sign that the price may be reversing. Weakness in the Russell 2000 (IWM) below the low made on 08/07/17 at 135.77, would suggest last week’s decline may continue. If violated on a closing basis expect the IWM to fall to the next support level at 132.40 the 03/27/17 low and potentially to the weekly channel objective at 124.00.


Summing Up:

The market remains very resilient in 2017 with major averages continuing to make new all-time highs. Small caps have been unable to break out through its upper channel and on the latest decline, they led the market lower, not a healthy sign for the market. Pullbacks have been rare this year, turning into buying opportunities. With the IWM intermediate momentum pattern clearly weakening, forming a negative divergence spread over 29 weeks, now is not the time to take on additional risk in small caps bottom fishing on any pullback.

 

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts August 17, 2017

 

 

 

If you like this article, then you will love this!

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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Self-improvement is a major key to success, happiness and enjoying your life.  However, at times we all have our moments where we could use a little inspiration. That is why I teamed up with other personal development experts in their fields to offer you some Free Self-Improvement Gifts.

“Limitless Living” Free Gifts Giveaway: free resources and gifts from personal development experts to help you improve yourself and create your dream life without unnecessary time and money being expended.

Create health, happiness, success, wealth, and longevity now.  You can get your free gifts here.

Improve yourself in all areas of life living the lifestyle you desire.

The giveaway has just opened its doors with many free gifts and downloads for you. Don’t miss out on this fantastic opportunity. The gifts will only be available for 10 days.

You will be able to download them all or choose the ones that apply to you most.

 

Get them while you can: Register here:
Enjoy your free resources.

To your health, wealth, and happiness,

Bonnie Gortler
The inspired Wealth & Well-Being Coach

 

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Equity market overview – The bulls remain in control for now

The stock market continues its winning ways.  In 2017, any decline that has occurred has been contained to only a few percent because the bulls quickly stepped in to buy and the market rebounded.   Major averages are at or near their all-time highs.  The New York Stock Exchange Index cumulative advance decline line has likewise made a new all-time high.  Overseas markets are rising, especially emerging markets.  The transportation average recently confirmed the Dow Jones high.  (However, the Transports have pulled back this week.  The significance of this divergence from the Industrials is unclear at this early stage.)  VIX, a measure of fear, is at 9.79 on 07/18/17, historically a very low level.   All of these factors are supporting our market.   At this time only a few warning signs exist, such as unfavorable seasonality and some weakening momentum patterns appearing on some of the intermediate and long term charts.

The positives far outweigh the few warning signs that don’t seem to be deterring the bulls from moving the market higher. There is no evidence of a change in the prevailing uptrend.  Our U.S. equity models remain overall neutral-bullish suggesting higher prices are likely over the next several months.  Any pullback, if it were to occur is likely to be contained, rather than a larger decline of more than 20%.

ETF Corner

Let’s turn now away from US equities to review the position of Gold (GLD) since my article in the June 8, 2017 Systems and Forecasts newsletter “Gold Appears Ready to Shine”.   As a reminder, you can trade gold bullion with the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD).  Purchasing the ETF (GLD) is an easy way to participate without holding the physical commodity.   GLD tends to be trendy, once it establishes its direction.

The top portion of the GLD chart above shows the weekly active trend channel in effect (blue lines).

Gold (GLD) bottomed at 107.00 on 12/15/16.  GLD penetrated the high on 04/17/17 at 123.07, slightly breaking the downtrend from its peak (orange line) on 07/05/16 , which appeared to be a breakout at the time. Instead, the breakout was false as GLD stalled at the middle channel, not powering through.    GLD fell for five weeks to a low of 114.80 then turned up, holding well above the lower channel at 111.00 and above the low at 114.80.  If GLD closes above the high at 123.07 (green circle) this time, GLD would likely be a true breakout. The potential upside target is 139.00.   A close below the lower channel support at 111.00 would negate my bullish outlook.

The lower portion of the chart is the 12-26-9 MACD, a momentum indicator.  MACD gave a buy from an extreme oversold condition as GLD rose.  On the latest pullback MACD penetrated 0 and has now turned slightly below 0.    Any short term rise in price now would turn MACD up and form a positive double bottom formation.  This would imply further gains over the intermediate term (weeks-months).

SPDR GOLD TRUST ETF (GLD) Daily and 12-26-9 MACD  

The top portion of the GLD chart above is the daily price with a 200-Day Simple Moving Average (blue line).  The 200-day moving average is a common technical indicator which investors use to evaluate the price trend. Very simply put, it’s the average of GLD closing price over the last 200 days.  If the price of the security is above the moving average it’s bullish (green circles).  If the price is below the moving average, it’s bearish (red circles).  Notice how on 07/18/17 GLD is above its 200-day moving average. In addition, Gold (GLD) has penetrated the down trend (black line) suggesting further gains are likely in the near term.

The lower portion of the chart is the 12-26-9 MACD, a momentum indicator.  MACD has generated a fresh buy together with a downside trend line break. This is a favorable development for GLD.

In Sum: 

U.S. equities continue their winning ways with the bulls remaining in control until proven otherwise. Our U.S. equity models remain overall neutral-bullish suggesting higher prices are likely over the next several months.  Another buying opportunity for the gold bullion ETF (GLD) is here.  Gold (GLD) is above its 200-day simple moving average and has successfully tested it weekly low.  As long as Gold (GLD) is above 111.00, look for Gold (GLD) to trend higher.

I would love to hear from you. Please call 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts July 20, 2017

 

 

 

 

If you like this article, then you will love this!

Free Instant Access to Grow
Your Wealth and Well-Being E-Book HERE

 

 


 

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results