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February was a month to remember. The short-term correction (-10%) that loomed over the market finally arrived in the major averages.  After new highs in January, now there is weakness in the tape appearing more regularly.  Volatility has more than doubled based on the Volatility Index (VIX). There has been a clear loss of momentum in some technical indicators that are starting to appear. Sometimes in the past, a precursor to lower stock prices down the road.

Our U.S. equity timing model remains on its October 31st buy.  This is normally a condition where historically risk has been below average and returns above average.  So far, the correction has been contained. With the latest decline, the short term is oversold from where potential rallies do develop.   However, the intermediate term charts are the opposite, they are overbought, suggesting the likelihood the market could have some difficulty having a substantial rise.

Keep a close eye on the movement in the Russell 2000 Index (IWM), a good measure for the broad market.

Figure: The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) Weekly Price Channel and Upside Objective, and 19-26-9 Week MACD

The iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) is made up of companies with a market capitalization of between $300 million and $2 billion.  The Russell 2000 (IWM) portfolio top sector holdings as of 02/21/18, is Financials 17.71%, Technology 16.61%, Health Care 15.13%, Industrials 14.58% and Consumer Cyclicals 12.23.  (Side note): Weekly MACD of Financials (XLF) has just given a fresh sell which is the top sector of the Russell 2000 Index

The top portion of the chart shows the weekly Russell 2000 Index (IWM) peaking at 160.62 on 1/24/18, failing to reach the equidistant channel objective (orange line) at 164.00 (purple circle). The IWM then turned down penetrating the uptrend (green line) that began in February 2016. This was the second time the uptrend was slightly violated, also in August 2017 (pink circles).  After penetrating the uptrend line, both times the IWM reversed higher.  This time could be a different story compared to the August 2017 rise when the IWM was moving sideways, much quieter, and the trading range was only about 1/2% a day.  In this market climate, there is more volatility, intraday swings are between 1 and 2 %.

The lower portion of the chart is MACD, a technical indicator that measures momentum.   MACD is in an overbought condition, momentum weakening, very close to generating a fresh sell signal.   MACD is also threatening to break a two-year-old uptrend that began in January 2016.  Risk is on the rise.

The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) is also showing warning signs of a loss of momentum for the intermediate term.

Figure: S&P 500 SPDR ETF Weekly Price Channel and upside objective (SPY, top) and 12-26-9 MACD (bottom)

The chart above is the weekly SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ETF and its weekly (intermediate) price channel (purple lines).   The S&P 500 (SPY) is made up of 500 stocks of the largest companies in the U.S. When you invest in the S&P 500 (SPY), you are getting a broad representation of large-cap U.S stocks with a moderate risk.

The S&P 500 (SPY) advance didn’t quite reach the upper channel objective at 308.00, peaking at 286.79.  During February’s sharp and quick decline, the two-year uptrend was slightly penetrated to the downside.  The SPY reversed sharply off its lows.   However, as of the writing the rally has stalled and a tight trading range between 268.00 and 275.00 has developed.   If the S&P closes below 268.00 the odds would increase a test of the lows is imminent.

MACD is in an overbought condition, very close to generating a sell signal along with breaking an uptrend from January 2016, over two years old.  For now, the benefit of the doubt goes to the bulls.  However, momentum is weakening. risk is on the rise, and caution is recommended

Summing Up:

The easy times are over.  A clear loss of momentum in the market averages has occurred in February.  Some technical damage did occur during the sharp decline in February.  Although the market averages have reversed off their lows, there is a good chance a test of the lows will occur over the next few weeks.  Intra-day volatility is on the rise which adds to risk.  For now, the bulls remain in control.   Even so, if you haven’t already you have a second chance to review your investment portfolio.   Be ready for the potential challenges that may be ahead, and be prepared for the potential opportunities that may arise in months to come.  If you need a second pair of eyes we are here to help you.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

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******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts February 23, 2018

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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January was a strong month for stocks. The Dow Industrials and the S&P 500 had their best January since the1990’s.  However, the indices have turned lower to end the month.  Investors appear to have stopped buying dips and have turned a bit more cautious. Investor optimism remains high, a contrary indicator.    Intra-day volatility has picked up. It looks like the days of half of one percent intraday ranges on the market indices now are a distant memory. I anticipate the daily trading ranges over the next several months to widen.

A short-term correction looms in the future.  There has been some short-term weakness in the tape, along with a loss of momentum in some technical indicators.  It was somewhat disturbing there were readings this week that showed a clear deterioration in the new 52-week highs and also an expansion of the new 52-week lows on the New York Stock Exchange Index.

On the contrary, a sign for the rally to resume would be for the opposite to take place: the new highs to expand and the new lows to contract to below 50.  The intermediate and long-term price trends on the major averages remain favorable.  Our U.S. equity timing model remains on its October 31st buy, a condition where historically risk has been below average and returns above average.

It’s too early to say the rally has come to an end.

Keep a Close Eye on the Russell 2000 (IWM)

What ETF to watch now for signs of a correction in the near term?  Answer: The Russell 2000

Figure: The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) Weekly Price Channel, Upside Objective Channel, and 19-26-9 Week MACD

The iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) is made up of companies with a market capitalization of between $300 million and $2 billion. The Russell 2000 (IWM) portfolio top sector holdings as of 01/30/18, is Financials 17.71%, Information Technology 16.77%, Health Care 16.16%, Industrials 15.22% and Consumer Discretionary 12.43%.  The top sectors in the IWM all started the year strong.

The top portion of the chart shows the weekly IWM made a new record high of 160.62 on 1/24/18.  The IWM has been in an uptrend (green line) since February 2016, with only one violation that lasted for three weeks in August 2017 (pink circle).  The IWM appears to have stalled, before completing its latest upper channel objective at 164.00 (purple circle), unlike the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, which made higher objectives, not a good sign.  The IWM has been weaker than the other indices as of late.

Over the next several days, watch if the IWM stays above 151.00 keeping the uptrend intact. As of this writing the IWM is 156.69. In addition, if the IWM lags the S&P 500 (SPY), this would be another sign implying further weakness for the IWM that could potentially spill over to other sectors of the market in the near term.  On the other hand, it would be bullish if the Russell 2000 (IWM) index were to stop falling and take out the IWM high at 160.62, and penetrate 164.00 giving higher objectives.

The lower portion of the chart is MACD, a technical indicator that measures momentum. MACD peaked in January 2017, (left purple circle) confirming the price high.  The IWM stayed in a trading range as MACD moved lower until September when MACD turned up.  The rise in MACD has slowed since the initial thrust.  MACD has turned down, (right purple circle) forming a potential negative divergence from last January.  More strength in the IWM is needed in the near term for MACD to make a new momentum high.

Figure: The iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM) Daily Price Channel, and 12-26-9 Week MACD

The top portion of the chart shows the Daily iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM).

The IWM has been in a daily uptrend since August 2017.   The short-term trend is in jeopardy to turn negative if the present decline continues. A close below 155.00 for two days will shift the daily trend from up to down suggesting caution near term.

In the lower portion of the chart MACD has given a fresh sell signal showing momentum is clearly weakening.  If the IWM continues to fall, the uptrend will also be broken, suggesting more selling is possible sooner rather than later.

Summing Up:

January has been a stellar month for the market.  In the past few trading sessions volatility has picked up and the tape action has become more unfavorable. Short and intermediate trend lines are intact for now.  However, further weakness would break the uptrends suggesting a short-term correction is possible.  I am watching very carefully the action in the Russell 2000 as it is one of the few indices that didn’t reach its upper channel objective and now has started to turn down.  Hold off on buying into the dip to see if the IWM remains above 155.00 on this pull back which would break the daily uptrend. A break below 151.00 on the IWM would violate the intermediate trend.   For now, continue to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls. However, if the uptrends are violated more caution is recommended.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

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******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts February 1, 2018

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

 

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New record highs in price on the major averages such as the S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq Composite Index and Russell 2000 occurred in late July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) penetrated another round number, the 22,000 level. However, what is disturbing are technical indicators measuring momentum, such as MACD didn’t surpass its momentum highs from June. Fear has been on the rise as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the stock market’s fear measure, spiked on the recent short term decline in August after many days of low volatility.

Our models remain overall neutral-positive, suggesting further gains are expected with downside risk remaining modest. Investors remain focused on many items including economic data for a possible December rate hike, a potential decrease in taxes, new health reform, and world events.  Some investors remain on the sidelines waiting for more clarity, or on vacation taking some time off like me.  The market was very quiet for over two weeks while I was gone and then last week, the tone of the market seemed to have changed.  The market no longer was in a consolidation pattern. The S&P 500 index fell 1.4%, its worst week since March, while the Nasdaq lost 1.5%.  The leader of the decline was small-cap stocks.  The Russell 2000 index (IWM) fell last week 2.7%, its biggest one week decline since February 2016.  It’s not a healthy sign when small caps are weaker than the overall market.

Watch the Movement Now of Small Caps Closely- iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Weekly Price (Top), and 12-26-9 Week MACD (Bottom)

The top portion of the chart shows the weekly iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (IWM) which is made up of companies with a market capitalization of between $300 million and $2 billion. The IWM made a high of 138.82 on 12/08/16 stopping at its upper channel.  The IWM went sideways for about 8 weeks, not giving up much ground.  The pattern of slightly higher highs continued followed by small pullbacks (purple circles).  None of the pullbacks that occurred penetrated the uptrend that was in effect.  This latest peak in July (red circle) failed again to penetrate the channel, and the uptrend is in jeopardy of being broken.

The lower portion of the chart is MACD, a technical indicator that measures momentum. MACD has an ugly looking pattern. Initially, MACD confirmed the price high in December 2016. On the following advances to new highs, MACD failed to confirm. Now momentum is clearly weakening and the formation is spread over 29 weeks. Usually, a divergence spread over time is a sign that the price may be reversing. Weakness in the Russell 2000 (IWM) below the low made on 08/07/17 at 135.77, would suggest last week’s decline may continue. If violated on a closing basis expect the IWM to fall to the next support level at 132.40 the 03/27/17 low and potentially to the weekly channel objective at 124.00.


Summing Up:

The market remains very resilient in 2017 with major averages continuing to make new all-time highs. Small caps have been unable to break out through its upper channel and on the latest decline, they led the market lower, not a healthy sign for the market. Pullbacks have been rare this year, turning into buying opportunities. With the IWM intermediate momentum pattern clearly weakening, forming a negative divergence spread over 29 weeks, now is not the time to take on additional risk in small caps bottom fishing on any pullback.

 

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts August 17, 2017

 

 

 

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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No one really knows if the old adage sell and go away in May will hold true for 2017. What is known is May has begun quietly as the S&P 500 remains in a narrow trading range on less than inspiring momentum. However, the present tape action is a far cry from bear market action.

The technology sector continues to soar to new highs. In the 02/16/17/ Issue of Systems and Forecasts I brought attention to the possibility of another leg up for Technology, revisiting the article on 01/13/17 “Breakout in Technology Looms”, QQQ looked poised for a breakout. This indeed has occurred. The QQQ original objective was 130.00, followed by 139.00.  On 05/09/17 the QQQ made an intra-day high of 138.93, meeting the upside objective.

 

The Tape Remains Mostly Bullish


PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index)
Weekly Price and Trend Channels
(Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

 

The top part of the chart shows the weekly Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index and its operative trend channel.  The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization.  The top holdings are Apple, (AAPL), Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Facebook, (FB) and Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) and all have been climbing.

The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), led by Apple is red-hot and looks as if there is more room to the upside.  In the latest issue, I pointed out it’s necessary to watch and see if MACD made a higher high or if MACD turns down. Notice the lower chart.  MACD made a new high confirming the high made by QQQ. This confirmation suggests the odds favor an extension of the rise and has bullish implications going forward over the next several weeks to months.  Any weakness now should be contained and only be temporary before another rally attempt would occur.

If the QQQ falls below support at 129.00, just under where the QQQ consolidated early this year, much more caution is necessary.


In Sum:

The QQQ intermediate uptrend remains in effect (orange line). The upside target for the QQQ is 157.00.  The breakout is in process. Time is now on the side of the bulls.


Apple Charges Ahead Leading the Technology Sector Higher

The top half is a price chart showing the weekly high-low-close of Apple since April 2014.  Apple was out of favor in 2015, until June 2016 when investors selling turned into buying.  A clear uptrend is in effect (black line). As long as Apple is above the trend line, the intermediate trend is up.

Apple has had explosive momentum in 2017, going from 117.91 to 154.08, a gain of 30.68 %. Notice how Apple this week has penetrated the upper channel. This is a bullish breakout giving a new channel upside objective to 175.00 (orange line).  A test of the breakout could occur in the near term, amounting to only 2.00% – 3.00%.  However the recent thrust suggests the advance will continue and declines would be very minor.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12-26-9), a technical indicator that measures momentum. MACD has confirmed the Apple’s price high (green circle) similar to the QQQ.  A solid uptrend remains intact.


Summing Up:

Our equity models remain overall neutral–bullish, a potentially favorable market climate, although there has been an increase in risk. Technology stocks remain the leader supporting the overall market.  MACD on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and Apple (AAPL) has confirmed the recent price highs. The intermediate uptrend in Nasdaq (QQQ) and Apple (AAPL) are solidly intact.  The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has an upside target of 157.00 and Apple has an upside target to 175.00.  This could be the year where you don’t want to go away and sell in May.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

If you like this article, then you will love this! Free Instant Access to Grow Your Wealth and Well-Being E-Book HERE

 

*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts May 11, 2017

 

Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

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The short-term decline in April has ended.  The Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 all successfully tested key support levels this past week.  The recent news of possible tax cuts sooner rather than later, an optimistic perceived outcome to the election in Europe, and a good start to the earning season has spurred a potential new leg of the advance.   Overhead resistance on some indices exists.   However, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has made a new high, has broken through resistance giving new upside projections, which could carry the overall market higher for the next several months.   More time is needed to know if other averages will follow suit or if the present rally will fizzle.   However my prediction is there is more room to the upside.

Technology leads the way.

PowerShares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100 Index) Weekly Price and Trend Channels (Top), and MACD 12-26-9 (Bottom)

The top part of the chart shows the weekly Power Shares 100 (QQQ), an exchange-traded fund based on the Nasdaq 100 Index and its operative trend channel.  The QQQ includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock market based on market capitalization.  As of 04/24/17, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 11.84%, Microsoft Corp (MSFT) 8.20%, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) 6.80%, Facebook, Inc. Class A (FB) 5.38%, Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) 4.70%, and Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL), 4.10% totaling 41.02%

The QQQ has been rock solid this year, leading in relative strength vs. the S&P 500, and up almost twice the gains of the S&P 500.  The QQQ has slightly penetrated the middle channel after a 9-week consolidation, where the QQQ traded between 129.38 and 134.00 (the red circle), now trading at 135.14.  The bullish outcome is not a surprise.  (See my article in the 03/15/17 Systems and Forecasts: Weekly MACD confirms the advance: Higher prices anticipated).  The next upside target is 157.00, a 16.2% gain from present levels. The intermediate trend remains up as long as the QQQ remains above the up trendline line (orange).

Because the initial upside thrust since the election was so strong, the expectation the first decline wouldn’t be significant is exactly what has occurred.  The present breakout needs to be watched closer.  Keep an eye on how Apple (AAPL) performs, the largest holding of QQQ.  If the Nasdaq continues to show leadership, making new highs, then it could support the market and help the technology sector over the next several months.  

On the other hand, if the QQQ falls below 129.00, retracing its recent gains, a warning sign of a potential change of trend would be given.  If the QQQ falls below 125.00 breaking the uptrend, (orange line) more caution would be warranted with possibly a larger correction on the horizon than the decline in April.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9), a measure of momentum.  It was a bullish MACD pattern that confirmed the price high made in QQQ in February 2017, before the recent consolidation.  The uptrend remains in effect (pink-line).  The QQQ has made a new high.  If MACD turns down failing to make a new high, a negative divergence would occur.  Over the next several weeks watch to see if MACD makes a higher high.  This would be bullish.  If MACD turns down, this would complete the negative divergence pattern and would be considered bearish. 

Summing Up:

Our models remain overall neutral-positive for the intermediate term which means upside potential remains greater than downside risk.  Technology stocks continue to lead the market higher.  After many weeks of consolidation and weakening momentum, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) has broken through resistance giving new upside projections to 157.00 which could carry the overall market higher for the next several months.  The advance seems to be broadening.  Market breadth is improving, financials and small caps have come to life again gaining in relative strength. These are all signs of a healthy market.  The intermediate uptrend in Nasdaq (QQQ) price and in MACD is intact.  If the uptrend is broken on either price or MACD more caution will be necessary, as the odds would increase the advance will fizzle and no longer sizzle. For now, the bulls remain in control, continue to enjoy the ride. 

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.

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*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts April 27, 2017

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

 

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U.S. stocks were quiet early in March as the major averages traded in narrow ranges closing at the end of the day near their highs. This phenomenon changed as the month moved on. Buyers turned to sellers. The S&P 500 was down more than 1% in a single day, which didn’t happen for 5 months previously.  The Financial sector and Small Cap sector that led the market higher weakened. Technical momentum oscillators were extended, showing loss of momentum, ripe for a short term pullback.  The short term trend changed from up to down (based on charting methods).

What ETF to Watch To Guide You for Direction?

 

SPDR S&P Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) Daily Price (Top), and MACD 19-26-9 (Bottom)

The top part of the chart shows the weekly Financial Sector SPDR (XLF), an exchange traded fund (ETF) that tracks a mix of diversified financial service firms, insurance, banks, capital markets, consumer finance and thrift companies. As of 03/28/17 the top holdings of XLF are: Berkshire Hathaway B, (BRK.b) 10.97%, JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM) 10.86%, Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) 8.65%, Bank of America Corp (BAC) 8.08, and Citigroup Inc. (C), 5.65%.   Historically it’s a sign of a healthy market when financial stocks are strong, showing signs there is economic growth.  The S&P 500 (SPY) also tends to do well because the S&P 500 index has 16.48% of its holdings in the financial sector, only the technology sector is higher at (19.25 % through 02/27/17.

Investors shifted assets to financial stocks after the election. The XLF peaked at 25.29 on 03/02/17.  A pullback followed a few weeks later, breaking its short term trend up trend on 03/17/17, two days before the S&P 500 (SPY) broke their daily trend line.   Notice how the XLF retraced all of its 2017 gains, stopping above a key support area (green rectangle), at 22.97, holding above the December 2016 low at 22.84.

Many times once an uptrend is broken after a test of an important support area, another rally attempt will occur. This looks like what is happening now.  The XLF just penetrated its down trend, a positive sign for a short term rally to begin.  If the decline is over, the XLF should challenge its down trend line from the peak, around 24.50, (green line).  If the XLF stalls and turns lower, then look for another test of the support area. A break below would be considered bearish. A break above 24.50 would suggest another attempt at the March highs.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9) a technical indicator that measures momentum.  MACD is now oversold, below 0, and has a favorable pattern forming.  If the XLF rises for a few days in a row a buy will be generated.  Keep an eye out for the downtrend in MACD to be broken. This would confirm the short term decline is over and further gains are ahead.

  

 

SPDR S&P Financial Select SPDR ETF Weekly Price (Top), and MACD 19-26-9 (Bottom)

The top portion shows the weekly SPDR S&P Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) active trading channel (purple lines). The XLF had a huge advance, breaking through its upper channel.   However, a false breakout materialized, the XLF couldn’t sustain its rise and the XLF declined by 9.2%, holding above its weekly low made in December 2016 (red circle).  The intermediate trend is up. The uptrend remains intact.

A break below the recent low at 22.97 would increase the odds of a further decline that would potentially break the uptrend, and would shift the intermediate trend from up to down.

The bottom half of the chart is MACD (12, 26, 9) a technical indicator that measures momentum.  MACD has just given a sell.  But I am not worried about this MACD sell because it was not accompanied by a negative divergence. Moreover MACD did make a new peak to confirm the price high and its uptrend is intact.  Usually when you have a powerful thrust as XLF did, another rally attempt occurs after the first decline.  As long as the uptrend is in effect the odds favor the bulls. If the downtrend is broken (black line) a warning sign would be given and the bears most likely would come out of hiding.

In Sum:

Our equity models remain overall neutral-positive, implying further gains are likely for the intermediate term (weeks–months). Look for wider intraday swings, as the historically favorable seasonal period will be ending in April.  Financials have lost some of the luster they had early in the year but resurgence could begin soon.  The recent decline appears to be over if the recent low at 22.97 holds.  As long as the uptrends remain intact for the intermediate term (weekly chart) in terms of price and MACD, give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls.  Time will tell.

I would love to hear from you. Please call me at 516-829-6444 or email at bgortler@signalert.com to share your thoughts or ask me any questions you might have.


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*******Article published by Bonnie Gortler in Systems and Forecasts March 30, 2017

 

 

 

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Disclaimer: Although the information is made with a sincere effort for accuracy, it is not guaranteed that the information provided is a statement of fact. Nor can we guarantee the results of following any of the recommendations made herein. Readers are encouraged to meet with their own advisors to consider the suitability of investments for their own particular situations and for determination of their own risk levels. Past performance does not guarantee any future results.

 

 

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Shifting Your Money MindsetHow much of a difference would a shift in your thinking help in making 2017 your best financial year? Would you be willing to make the change? Especially if you knew it would give you some peace of mind when it comes to your money situation. Would you be willing to do what it takes to improve your circumstances? Hopefully, you’ve answered yes. Please understand that though there are many choices there is one thing that will reap you the largest return and that is to… INVEST IN YOU!!

You can start your journey toward change by learning to separate fact from fiction and by taking responsibility for your actions as you move away from getting caught up with decisions based solely on your emotions. You need to be clear headed if you plan to actually seize the opportunities that unfold and you cannot do so if you are always in reaction mode. You must be proactive in making solid decisions based on real data not on what you ‘wish’ or ‘hope’ for. When you focus on positive thoughts you can also create goals that will inspire you to save and invest. Learn to open your mind and educate yourself by reading, asking questions, and then reading some more. Do your best to immerse yourself in understanding the areas in your life that continue to elude your grasp. Your full attention is required if you expect to master your weak spots. This is especially true when it comes to finances since so many mistakes I see people make are due to their lack of knowledge. Don’t worry, I don’t expect you to take on everything at once. You can start by reading articles from magazines, trade journals and newspapers. These sources are generally well researched and prove most helpful when you arrive at those big decisions that will impact your future.

Becoming a mathematical genius, a stock market guru, or acquiring a degree in finance is NOT necessary to become prosperous. Opportunity exists at every turn if you are prepared to take advantage of it. The journey to wealth begins with a winning mindset and an understanding that every smart decision will bring you even closer to your goals, dreams, and aspirations. When done just right this will also include those financial decisions. But you have to take the first step in changing the way you look at money and how money works within your life. If you have a mental state and belief system that supports the idea “there is not enough” then you will fully live and experience a life of scarcity. Really it’s that simple. You have to shift your money mindset if you want things to be different.

I truly believe more than anything that you can do whatever your mind sets out to do. A life free from financial worry can be yours. You just need to take action so you can create the best life possible for yourself and your family. Your future is up to you! Decide what you want, never give up, and begin now to believe in YOU no matter the circumstances. I certainly do! If you have questions or concerns regarding shifting your money mindset or any area of your finances, feel free to contact me directly at Bonnie@BonnieGortler.com.

To your health, wealth and happiness,

Bonnie Gortler

Wealth and Well-Being Coach

Visit here for your “Inspired Wealth and Well-Being Free 30 minute Discovery Session”

 

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Bonnie Financial from KathyAre you at peace or frustrated when you think about your day–to-day finances? Have you sat quietly and thought about how to set real change in motion when it comes to your wealth? Decide now that you will create change and make your finances a priority. Be a self-starter towards achieving your financial goals. Don’t wait for someone else, or say you will begin tomorrow. Make proper money management a top priority and watch how the positive results impact your bottom line.

To begin you must right write down your three biggest challenges in terms of your finances. Ask yourself why do you think they are not working? What changes can you make right now and do differently to improve your future earnings or place you in a better position for financial independence?  How can you change your mindset in order to make the needed changes that will keep you stress and worry free?

Changing your habits could involve forgoing some activity or habit that is costing you money but you keep doing even though there is no real benefit or satisfaction. It can anything but for now focus on finding a routine that you do and could just as easily do without. Yes, it’s possible for you to learn a new wealth building attitude, one that suits your needs, one that you will commit to, and one that pays out huge rewards by giving you a feeling of satisfaction and happiness.

You can also start by adjusting the thought patterns and by reevaluating the behaviors surrounding your relationship with money. If all your thoughts are negative, you’ll quickly discover that real change will be more of a challenge and improvement will escape your grasp every time. The only way to move into true prosperity is by thinking good thoughts followed with strategic action because both of these activities will give you a different perspective and will also become the foundation of belief so you understand in your heart that it’s possible for you to have the life you’ve always dreamed about.

“A positive mind finds a way it can be done;
a negative mind looks for all the ways it can’t be done”- Napoleon Hill

It also helps if you begin with the habit of incorporating a new daily behavior that will allow the positive thoughts to become automatic. By consciously forging a new healthy mindset you will develop rituals that will allow you to reach your goals. Decide now to create a plan of action that consists of action steps that move you closer to successfully impacting your finances. It’s never too late to start. Don’t put off your financial well-being. Your future self is depending on you!

Think about one realistic financial goal that is specific and measurable, and then write it down.  All habits can be changed. You can tweak as needed but you must set them in motion by taking action. Habits are learned responses. Once you make a new habit part of a daily routine, they become fully ingrained in what you do and will quickly begin to feel very natural to you. Adopting new ways of change adds to your wealth and will help you live the lifestyle you desire. You can use the additional tips below to help you as well.

Create A Positive Impact On Your Finances:

  • Money July blogDo less, not more. Remove one item that you do often and are not getting the results you desire. Do more of what is giving you the results that you desire.
  • Adopt a positive money mindset, that has an optimistic outlook that gives you the feeling of security and freedom of choice.
  • Develop rituals, routines that keep growing your knowledge and understanding. Do what you love to do, don’t procrastinate, instead take action and don’t wait until everything is perfect. (I’m still learning this principle)
  • Compose a written plan with your individual financial goals. Set goals for 3 months, 6 months, and a year. Pick one to start working on and make it a priority each day.
  • Start a ritual of tracking your finances each day. Watch where you are spending your money each month. When you are comfortable track your spending differentiating between “needs” and “wants” and then create a plan that prioritizes spending within your means.
  • If you need some assistance, find someone who can support and guide you that will keep you accountable to reach your goals.

Here is a worksheet to help you start to focus and have a simple shift when it comes to money.

What SIMPLE changes can you do right now to save?

1)_______________________________

2)_______________________________

3)_______________________________

What are your three MOST SIGNIFICANT financial goals?

1)_______________________________

2)_______________________________

3)_______________________________

What are 3 FINANCIAL GOALS you would like to ACHIEVE in the next 6 months?

1)___________________________________

2)___________________________________

3)___________________________________

If you could make any SIGNIFICANT changes in your finances TODAY to save money for your future, what would they be?

1)___________________________________

2)___________________________________

3)___________________________________

Set in motion your journey to wealth!

Start now and create your own simple money rituals that will have a positive impact on your finances.

I invite you to send an email and share your financial goal setting tips or your money mind shifts experiences to Bonnie@Bonniegortler.com or use the comments box below.

If you like this article, then you will love this!  Click Here: https://bonniegortler.com/10-wealthtips/ 

 

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Welcome to my 7 day event highlighted on my blog, BonnieGortler.com!

The theme is – “To More Wealth and Well-Being”, where you will learn over the next 7 days how to make wealth and well-being yours now and forevermore.

Each day I will share ideas to improve your life, health, and finances.  At the end of the 7 days we will have a drawing for a $35 Amazon Gift Card.

To participate, make sure to comment on my blog (http://BonnieGortler.com) or on my Facebook page (BonnieGortler.com: BG Enterprises) so your name will be entered into the drawing. (Remember, only one (1) comment per day per person is permitted).

Explore, engage, and experience the awesome FREE-gifts and bonuses for you while you are visiting, and please make sure to like my Facebook page and share the wealth by inviting your friends, associates, and loved ones.

It’s real easy for you to enter the drawing and apply the new ideas you will learn so you to have more wealth and well-being from the gifts and bonuses I will share with you each day.

To sweeten the offer, I am including a copy of my book Journey to Wealth: A Practical and Mindful Approach to Growing and Sustaining Your Financial Well-Being (a downloadable copy for an international winner). Grab chapter one via BGJourneyToWealth.com.

Now, you have no excuses. Join in the fun and break through the challenges that you might be experiencing and decide wealth and well-being is yours now!

By taking part, you will quickly discover how to end the struggle for building wealth and begin to create a life full of well-being without the stress. You’ll feel better and become more fulfilled like never before. I’ve put this promotion together so you will be encouraged and get excited in your heart and mind and realize that wealth and well-being is possible for you. I want you to be fully prepared by knowing the steps necessary to create the lifestyle you’ve dreamed about.

You have the power to create change – Invest in YOU!

Today’s Tip to More Wealth and Well-Being
Day 7: More Abundance and Wealth for Your Financial Future

Listen here to the audio version of the article.

Achieve The Goals You Desire – Believe In You 003- Bonnie-Aruba-sand-waterDo you find yourself making excuses and procrastinating about starting an investment plan for your financial future? Are you struggling to grow your wealth and sometimes intimidated or overwhelmed by what has to be done? Making good financial decisions is a skill that anyone can learn by deciding to commit to create change. There is no better time than now to develop a plan where you are in charge and can take responsibility for your financial future. You don’t have to make a dramatic change all at once so it’s hard or even a painful process. You can make small changes, one at a time and before you know it, you will be saving and investing in a natural manner that becomes easier and more rewarding each day.

Your financial goals change at different stages of life. You want to decide if you are investing for the short or long term.  There are periods in life when taking risks is warranted but other phases in life when it is best to be extremely careful with your finances. Everyone’s risk tolerance threshold varies depending on the different situations in life. Some of you are just beginning to build your wealth and still have your entire life ahead of you. Because you are just starting out you have more time ahead to replace capital if lost. A new investor starting out in life has different objectives than one who is now retired after working his or her whole life or living off of money they have saved; and therefore have a lower tolerance for risk because of the lack of time to recover should there be a loss.

Risk is the potential loss you can have on an investment. No matter what circumstance you are in, your risk tolerance needs to be established along with the appropriate investment strategy for your lifestyle, age that fit into the dreams you have for your future. Develop an investment plan that includes a mix of equities and bonds that you want in order to manage risk. Some investments are more uncertain than others. A simple and quick way to decide your portfolio mix of how much equity and bonds is by your age. The older you are the more bonds and less equity you want in your portfolio.   For example, if you are 30 years old then 30% bonds; and 70% equity would be your mix. If you are age 50, then a good investment mix would be 50% bonds and 50 % equity. (Note: future results cannot be guaranteed).

Investments that are too aggressive and keep you up at night are simply too stressful, and don’t align with your commitment to achieving wealth and well-being. Capital preservation is the key to your investments and growing your wealth. If you are losing sleep then these are not the correct investments for you. Consider altering your portfolio by making a small change at a time.  No need to change everything all at once. Decrease in phases to give yourself more peace of mind and less stress, so you can be more comfortable with your investment situation. In the long run, having investments that are quieter, (low volatility) as part of your portfolio will be the most consistent way for you to make the most money.

More Abundance and Wealth for Your Financial Future

  • Write down your short and long term goals and keep them by your side and look at them often.
  • Know where your money is going and what are you spending each month. Be mindful of not spending more than you earn.
  • Write down or create a worksheet on the computer what your monthly expenses are. Notice money spent on items that had no significance or that were not high priorities.
  • Have clear defined objectives. Create a written plan that has a mix of long term, (5 years or more) intermediate term (1 to 5 years) and short term (up to one year) personal financial goals. Financial planning early in life can begin leading you on the road to prosperity.
  • Start saving a few dollars at a time to begin accumulating wealth. Start small, a twenty dollar bill saved today will continue to grow for your future. You will be amazed how dollars turn into hundreds, then into thousands. It’s never too late to begin saving and investing.
  • Remember when investing that all trades will not make money. You will not be perfect. Learn how to let go of past mistakes. Learn to not let emotions rule your decisions. Stay focused, manage your thoughts and create good trading investment habits that will keep you on the right track.
  • Give yourself the gift of peace of mind by doing a little research before you invest. Be realistic with your expectations.
  • Track your investments that you invest in the stock market is a key to mastering your finances. Watch your portfolio daily, check on the price movement of your individual stocks or mutual funds.
  • Time is your friend when you are investing. Money will grow if you leave it to accumulate and don’t spend it.
  • Manage your risk! Protect your assets. Prevent large losses on your investments. Remember the best loss is the smallest loss. It is more important not to lose than it is to win.  Slow and steady consistent growth is much better than a roller coaster ride up and down with your investments.

With you making a commitment to a few simple changes carried out a little each day with consistency, you will, over time achieve your dreams and enjoy a bright financial future. A proper plan will not only save you money, but will also be enable you the flexibility to use your money on what gives you pleasure rather than only using it for meeting the basic needs that fill your life. Making even a small change is something that you can do without too much effort; when you do you will find the benefits are worth every step taken. Even the smallest action steps add up and are enough to make a true difference in your life. You have the power to turn things around. Learn to become accountable to you and take charge of your financial future so you can reap the benefits for years to come.

Your Journey to Wealth Is Within Reach!

I have a free offer for you.

Discover the Right Wealth Building Attitude with my book, Journey to Wealth: A Practical and Mindful Approach to Growing and Sustaining Financial Well-Being. You will have your own stock market toolbox to help manage your finances to be a more disciplined profitable investor.

Download my first chapter Click here: http://bgjourneytowealth.com/jtw-chp1offer/

I have a bonus for you. You are invited to schedule your inspired wealth and well-being Free 30 minute discovery session.

Click here to connect: https://bonniegortler.com/connect/. I am looking forward to a powerful session with you. You will have new clarity, a sense of tranquility about your next steps, and more confidence to create wealth and well-being so you can truly enjoy life again .

Be sure to visit my blog or FB page to have your comments count for the drawing. (I am drawing tomorrow).

To your health, wealth, and happiness,

Bonnie
Wealth and Well-Being Coach

 

Schedule your Inspired Wealth and Well-Being Free 30 minute Discovery Session


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A possible breakout to the upside in US equity averages failed once again in the past week. However, the S&P 500 has almost recovered from its recent losses with a potential key reversal day to the upside on 05/27/15. The technology sector, represented by PowerShares QQQ (QQQ, tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index) is acting better. The semiconductors (see chart of SOXX below) are strong, showing leadership, already penetrating January’s high which is bullish for the technology sector and good for the overall health of the stock market.

SMH 052915 Newsletter

Power Shares QQQ Daily Price and Trend Channels (Top), and 12-26-9 Daily MACD (Bottom)

0527qqq dailyThe top part of the chart is the Power  Shares QQQ Trust; an exchange traded fund (ETF) based on the Nasdaq 100 Index. The Index includes 100 of the largest domestic and international nonfinancial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. As of 5/26/15, Apple, (AAPL) is the largest holding comprising 14.61% and Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is the second largest holding at 7.40%. Both stocks peaked in late April, like the QQQ, but their present chart patterns appear favorable supporting higher prices for the QQQ. The top portion of the chart above shows how the QQQ has been unable to get through the top of the short term daily channel. Each time it was near, prices turned down. A closing price above for two days would be considered a breakout. Resistance now is at 112.50, with the uptrend since October 2014 (pink line) in effect. First support is at 107.50. A break below would suggest prices could quickly fall to the lower daily channel at 105.00 followed by 97.00. The lower portion of the daily QQQ chart is MACD, a momentum oscillator. When it is above 0 and rising, it indicates increasing momentum. There is also a slight upside break in the downtrend from March (Pink line) that has positive short term implications.

As long as QQQ is above 107.50, look for higher prices. Power Shares QQQ Weekly Price and Trend Channels (Top), and RSI 14 (Bottom) 

052717 qqq weeklyThe top portion of the weekly QQQ chart (to the right) also shows how QQQ for the intermediate term has stopped rising when price is near or at the top of the channel. QQQ remains above its recent breakout to the upside (pink line). The top channel objective is 112.50, the same area of resistance as the daily chart. When the QQQ moves through the resistance level, the next objective is 124.00. The lower portion of the chart is the Relative Strength Index, (RSI 14), a momentum indicator developed by Welles Wilder. It would be bullish, confirming higher prices ahead if the downtrend is broken. It is now very close to breaking the trend line from July 2014. If broken, expect further strength that could be could be sharp and fast, potentially triggering any buy stops that investors could have in place. Watch the indicator to see how high the reading gets before it turns down. If the RSI could get to 70 or above it should buy more time for the bull market environment: A secondary test of the price highs in QQQ would most likely happen before a major top would be in place.

Monthly QQQ/SPY Ratio (Top) RSI of QQQ/SPY Ratio (Bottom) 

052715 qqqspyrel strengthThe top part of the chart is the monthly ratio QQQ/SPY ratio. A rising line means the Nasdaq 100 is stronger and if falling, the S&P 500 is stronger. With the line continuing to rise, this confirms the long term strength in the QQQ vs. the S&P, which normally bodes well for the stock market. The monthly ratio is at its highs and rising is additional evidence that the bull market in technology remains in effect. This bodes well for the QQQ to suggest that the QQQ will break through the top of the daily and weekly channel. The lower chart above is the RSI of the QQQ/SPY Ratio shows a favorable uptrend from early 2013 in effect. The RSI of the QQQ/SPY ratio is trading near its highs at 70.80. With the rally in technology since March, the small double top pattern that was forming has been negated, alleviating any sign of potential danger at this time.

Just To Sum Up: The market has been unable to have a significant breakout to the upside. The technology sector is close to breaking through the top of the short and intermediate term channels. Momentum patterns in the technology sector are favorable and could be the catalyst for an upside breakout. As long as QQQ is above 107.50, look for higher prices in the stock market. If QQQ penetrates 112.50 on a closing basis for two days it would be considered a breakout and the next leg of the advance could begin. I would love to hear from you! Any thoughts, questions comments, feedback; please call me at 1-844-829-6229 or email at bonniegortler@signalert.com

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